On Training Survival Models with Scoring Rules

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Kopper, Philipp, Rügamer, David, Sonabend, Raphael, Bischl, Bernd, Bender, Andreas
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Kopper, Philipp
Rügamer, David
Sonabend, Raphael
Bischl, Bernd
Bender, Andreas
author_facet Kopper, Philipp
Rügamer, David
Sonabend, Raphael
Bischl, Bernd
Bender, Andreas
contents Scoring rules are an established way of comparing predictive performances across model classes. In the context of survival analysis, they require adaptation in order to accommodate censoring. This work investigates using scoring rules for model training rather than evaluation. Doing so, we establish a general framework for training survival models that is model agnostic and can learn event time distributions parametrically or non-parametrically. In addition, our framework is not restricted to any specific scoring rule. While we focus on neural network-based implementations, we also provide proof-of-concept implementations using gradient boosting, generalized additive models, and trees. Empirical comparisons on synthetic and real-world data indicate that scoring rules can be successfully incorporated into model training and yield competitive predictive performance with established time-to-event models.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_13150
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle On Training Survival Models with Scoring Rules
Kopper, Philipp
Rügamer, David
Sonabend, Raphael
Bischl, Bernd
Bender, Andreas
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computation
Scoring rules are an established way of comparing predictive performances across model classes. In the context of survival analysis, they require adaptation in order to accommodate censoring. This work investigates using scoring rules for model training rather than evaluation. Doing so, we establish a general framework for training survival models that is model agnostic and can learn event time distributions parametrically or non-parametrically. In addition, our framework is not restricted to any specific scoring rule. While we focus on neural network-based implementations, we also provide proof-of-concept implementations using gradient boosting, generalized additive models, and trees. Empirical comparisons on synthetic and real-world data indicate that scoring rules can be successfully incorporated into model training and yield competitive predictive performance with established time-to-event models.
title On Training Survival Models with Scoring Rules
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.13150