Grey-informed neural network for time-series forecasting

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Xie, Wanli, Zhao, Ruibin, Xu, Zhenguo, Liang, Tingting
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Xie, Wanli
Zhao, Ruibin
Xu, Zhenguo
Liang, Tingting
author_facet Xie, Wanli
Zhao, Ruibin
Xu, Zhenguo
Liang, Tingting
contents Neural network models have shown outstanding performance and successful resolutions to complex problems in various fields. However, the majority of these models are viewed as black-box, requiring a significant amount of data for development. Consequently, in situations with limited data, constructing appropriate models becomes challenging due to the lack of transparency and scarcity of data. To tackle these challenges, this study suggests the implementation of a grey-informed neural network (GINN). The GINN ensures that the output of the neural network follows the differential equation model of the grey system, improving interpretability. Moreover, incorporating prior knowledge from grey system theory enables traditional neural networks to effectively handle small data samples. Our proposed model has been observed to uncover underlying patterns in the real world and produce reliable forecasts based on empirical data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_15027
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Grey-informed neural network for time-series forecasting
Xie, Wanli
Zhao, Ruibin
Xu, Zhenguo
Liang, Tingting
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Neural network models have shown outstanding performance and successful resolutions to complex problems in various fields. However, the majority of these models are viewed as black-box, requiring a significant amount of data for development. Consequently, in situations with limited data, constructing appropriate models becomes challenging due to the lack of transparency and scarcity of data. To tackle these challenges, this study suggests the implementation of a grey-informed neural network (GINN). The GINN ensures that the output of the neural network follows the differential equation model of the grey system, improving interpretability. Moreover, incorporating prior knowledge from grey system theory enables traditional neural networks to effectively handle small data samples. Our proposed model has been observed to uncover underlying patterns in the real world and produce reliable forecasts based on empirical data.
title Grey-informed neural network for time-series forecasting
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.15027