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Main Authors: Naeini, Iman Emtiazi, Saberi, Zahra, Hassanzadeh, Khadijeh
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.15499
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author Naeini, Iman Emtiazi
Saberi, Zahra
Hassanzadeh, Khadijeh
author_facet Naeini, Iman Emtiazi
Saberi, Zahra
Hassanzadeh, Khadijeh
contents This study employs the Causal Machine Learning (CausalML) statistical method to analyze the influence of electricity pricing policies on carbon dioxide (CO2) levels in the household sector. Investigating the causality between potential outcomes and treatment effects, where changes in pricing policies are the treatment, our analysis challenges the conventional wisdom surrounding incentive-based electricity pricing. The study's findings suggest that adopting such policies may inadvertently increase CO2 intensity. Additionally, we integrate a machine learning-based meta-algorithm, reflecting a contemporary statistical approach, to enhance the depth of our causal analysis. The study conducts a comparative analysis of learners X, T, S, and R to ascertain the optimal methods based on the defined question's specified goals and contextual nuances. This research contributes valuable insights to the ongoing dialogue on sustainable development practices, emphasizing the importance of considering unintended consequences in policy formulation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_15499
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Causal Analysis of CO2 Reduction Strategies in Electricity Markets Through Machine Learning-Driven Metalearners
Naeini, Iman Emtiazi
Saberi, Zahra
Hassanzadeh, Khadijeh
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computers and Society
Methodology
This study employs the Causal Machine Learning (CausalML) statistical method to analyze the influence of electricity pricing policies on carbon dioxide (CO2) levels in the household sector. Investigating the causality between potential outcomes and treatment effects, where changes in pricing policies are the treatment, our analysis challenges the conventional wisdom surrounding incentive-based electricity pricing. The study's findings suggest that adopting such policies may inadvertently increase CO2 intensity. Additionally, we integrate a machine learning-based meta-algorithm, reflecting a contemporary statistical approach, to enhance the depth of our causal analysis. The study conducts a comparative analysis of learners X, T, S, and R to ascertain the optimal methods based on the defined question's specified goals and contextual nuances. This research contributes valuable insights to the ongoing dialogue on sustainable development practices, emphasizing the importance of considering unintended consequences in policy formulation.
title A Causal Analysis of CO2 Reduction Strategies in Electricity Markets Through Machine Learning-Driven Metalearners
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computers and Society
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.15499