Determinants of Uruguay's Real Effective Exchange Rate: A Mundell-Fleming Model Approach

Fuente: arXiv
Salvato in:
Dettagli Bibliografici
Autori principali: Islam, Didarul, Faisal, Mohammad Abdullah Al
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
Soggetti:
Accesso online:
Tags: Aggiungi Tag
Nessun Tag, puoi essere il primo ad aggiungerne!!
_version_ 1866914727865614336
author Islam, Didarul
Faisal, Mohammad Abdullah Al
author_facet Islam, Didarul
Faisal, Mohammad Abdullah Al
contents This study examines the factors influencing the short-term real effective exchange rate (REER) in Uruguay by applying an extended Mundell-Fleming model. Analyzing the impact of the US lending rate (USLR), money supply (M2), inflation (CPI), and the world interest rate (WIR), the paper uses a linear regression model with Newey-West standard errors. Key findings reveal that an increase in the USLR, CPI, and M2 is associated with a depreciation of the REER. In contrast, WIR shows no significant impact. These findings are consistent with the theoretical expectations of the Mundell-Fleming model regarding open economies under floating exchange rates. Therefore, authorities should tighten monetary policy, control inflation, adjust fiscal strategies, and boost exports in response to Peso depreciation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_16452
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Determinants of Uruguay's Real Effective Exchange Rate: A Mundell-Fleming Model Approach
Islam, Didarul
Faisal, Mohammad Abdullah Al
General Economics
Economics
This study examines the factors influencing the short-term real effective exchange rate (REER) in Uruguay by applying an extended Mundell-Fleming model. Analyzing the impact of the US lending rate (USLR), money supply (M2), inflation (CPI), and the world interest rate (WIR), the paper uses a linear regression model with Newey-West standard errors. Key findings reveal that an increase in the USLR, CPI, and M2 is associated with a depreciation of the REER. In contrast, WIR shows no significant impact. These findings are consistent with the theoretical expectations of the Mundell-Fleming model regarding open economies under floating exchange rates. Therefore, authorities should tighten monetary policy, control inflation, adjust fiscal strategies, and boost exports in response to Peso depreciation.
title Determinants of Uruguay's Real Effective Exchange Rate: A Mundell-Fleming Model Approach
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.16452