CoDy: Counterfactual Explainers for Dynamic Graphs

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Qu, Zhan, Gomm, Daniel, Färber, Michael
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Qu, Zhan
Gomm, Daniel
Färber, Michael
author_facet Qu, Zhan
Gomm, Daniel
Färber, Michael
contents Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) are widely used to model dynamic systems where relationships and features evolve over time. Although TGNNs demonstrate strong predictive capabilities in these domains, their complex architectures pose significant challenges for explainability. Counterfactual explanation methods provide a promising solution by illustrating how modifications to input graphs can influence model predictions. To address this challenge, we present CoDy, Counterfactual Explainer for Dynamic Graphs, a model-agnostic, instance-level explanation approach that identifies counterfactual subgraphs to interpret TGNN predictions. CoDy employs a search algorithm that combines Monte Carlo Tree Search with heuristic selection policies, efficiently exploring a vast search space of potential explanatory subgraphs by leveraging spatial, temporal, and local event impact information. Extensive experiments against state-of-the-art factual and counterfactual baselines demonstrate CoDy's effectiveness, with improvements of 16% in AUFSC+ over the strongest baseline.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_16846
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle CoDy: Counterfactual Explainers for Dynamic Graphs
Qu, Zhan
Gomm, Daniel
Färber, Michael
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) are widely used to model dynamic systems where relationships and features evolve over time. Although TGNNs demonstrate strong predictive capabilities in these domains, their complex architectures pose significant challenges for explainability. Counterfactual explanation methods provide a promising solution by illustrating how modifications to input graphs can influence model predictions. To address this challenge, we present CoDy, Counterfactual Explainer for Dynamic Graphs, a model-agnostic, instance-level explanation approach that identifies counterfactual subgraphs to interpret TGNN predictions. CoDy employs a search algorithm that combines Monte Carlo Tree Search with heuristic selection policies, efficiently exploring a vast search space of potential explanatory subgraphs by leveraging spatial, temporal, and local event impact information. Extensive experiments against state-of-the-art factual and counterfactual baselines demonstrate CoDy's effectiveness, with improvements of 16% in AUFSC+ over the strongest baseline.
title CoDy: Counterfactual Explainers for Dynamic Graphs
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.16846