Stochastic Active Discretizations for Accelerating Temporal Uncertainty Management of Gas Pipeline Loads

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Harmon, Jake J., Tokareva, Svetlana, Zlotnik, Anatoly
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Harmon, Jake J.
Tokareva, Svetlana
Zlotnik, Anatoly
author_facet Harmon, Jake J.
Tokareva, Svetlana
Zlotnik, Anatoly
contents We propose a predictor-corrector adaptive method for the simulation of hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs) on networks under general uncertainty in parameters, initial conditions, or boundary conditions. The approach is based on the stochastic finite volume (SFV) framework that circumvents sampling schemes or simulation ensembles while also preserving fundamental properties, in particular hyperbolicity of the resulting systems and conservation of the discrete solutions. The initial boundary value problem (IBVP) on a set of network-connected one-dimensional domains that represent a pipeline is represented using active discretization of the physical and stochastic spaces, and we evaluate the propagation of uncertainty through network nodes by solving a junction Riemann problem. The adaptivity of our method in refining discretization based on error metrics enables computationally tractable evaluation of intertemporal uncertainty in order to support decisions about timing and quantity of pipeline operations to maximize delivery under transient and uncertain conditions. We illustrate our computational method using simulations for a representative network.
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id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_16929
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Stochastic Active Discretizations for Accelerating Temporal Uncertainty Management of Gas Pipeline Loads
Harmon, Jake J.
Tokareva, Svetlana
Zlotnik, Anatoly
Numerical Analysis
We propose a predictor-corrector adaptive method for the simulation of hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs) on networks under general uncertainty in parameters, initial conditions, or boundary conditions. The approach is based on the stochastic finite volume (SFV) framework that circumvents sampling schemes or simulation ensembles while also preserving fundamental properties, in particular hyperbolicity of the resulting systems and conservation of the discrete solutions. The initial boundary value problem (IBVP) on a set of network-connected one-dimensional domains that represent a pipeline is represented using active discretization of the physical and stochastic spaces, and we evaluate the propagation of uncertainty through network nodes by solving a junction Riemann problem. The adaptivity of our method in refining discretization based on error metrics enables computationally tractable evaluation of intertemporal uncertainty in order to support decisions about timing and quantity of pipeline operations to maximize delivery under transient and uncertain conditions. We illustrate our computational method using simulations for a representative network.
title Stochastic Active Discretizations for Accelerating Temporal Uncertainty Management of Gas Pipeline Loads
topic Numerical Analysis
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.16929