Predicting risk of cardiovascular disease using retinal OCT imaging

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Maldonado-Garcia, Cynthia, Bonazzola, Rodrigo, Ferrante, Enzo, Julian, Thomas H, Sergouniotis, Panagiotis I, Ravikumara, Nishant, Frangi, Alejandro F
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Maldonado-Garcia, Cynthia
Bonazzola, Rodrigo
Ferrante, Enzo
Julian, Thomas H
Sergouniotis, Panagiotis I
Ravikumara, Nishant
Frangi, Alejandro F
author_facet Maldonado-Garcia, Cynthia
Bonazzola, Rodrigo
Ferrante, Enzo
Julian, Thomas H
Sergouniotis, Panagiotis I
Ravikumara, Nishant
Frangi, Alejandro F
contents Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are the leading cause of death globally. Non-invasive, cost-effective imaging techniques play a crucial role in early detection and prevention of CVD. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) has gained recognition as a potential tool for early CVD risk prediction, though its use remains underexplored. In this study, we investigated the potential of OCT as an additional imaging technique to predict future CVD events. We analysed retinal OCT data from the UK Biobank. The dataset included 612 patients who suffered a myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke within five years of imaging and 2,234 controls without CVD (total: 2,846 participants). A self-supervised deep learning approach based on Variational Autoencoders (VAE) was used to extract low-dimensional latent representations from high-dimensional 3D OCT images, capturing distinct features of retinal layers. These latent features, along with clinical data, were used to train a Random Forest (RF) classifier to differentiate between patients at risk of future CVD events (MI or stroke) and healthy controls. Our model achieved an AUC of 0.75, sensitivity of 0.70, specificity of 0.70, and accuracy of 0.70, outperforming the QRISK3 score (the third version of the QRISK cardiovascular disease risk prediction algorithm; AUC = 0.60, sensitivity = 0.60, specificity = 0.55, accuracy = 0.55). The choroidal layer in OCT images was identified as a key predictor of future CVD events, revealed through a novel model explainability approach. This study demonstrates that retinal OCT imaging is a cost-effective, non-invasive alternative for predicting CVD risk, offering potential for widespread application in optometry practices and hospitals.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_18873
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Predicting risk of cardiovascular disease using retinal OCT imaging
Maldonado-Garcia, Cynthia
Bonazzola, Rodrigo
Ferrante, Enzo
Julian, Thomas H
Sergouniotis, Panagiotis I
Ravikumara, Nishant
Frangi, Alejandro F
Image and Video Processing
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Machine Learning
Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are the leading cause of death globally. Non-invasive, cost-effective imaging techniques play a crucial role in early detection and prevention of CVD. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) has gained recognition as a potential tool for early CVD risk prediction, though its use remains underexplored. In this study, we investigated the potential of OCT as an additional imaging technique to predict future CVD events. We analysed retinal OCT data from the UK Biobank. The dataset included 612 patients who suffered a myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke within five years of imaging and 2,234 controls without CVD (total: 2,846 participants). A self-supervised deep learning approach based on Variational Autoencoders (VAE) was used to extract low-dimensional latent representations from high-dimensional 3D OCT images, capturing distinct features of retinal layers. These latent features, along with clinical data, were used to train a Random Forest (RF) classifier to differentiate between patients at risk of future CVD events (MI or stroke) and healthy controls. Our model achieved an AUC of 0.75, sensitivity of 0.70, specificity of 0.70, and accuracy of 0.70, outperforming the QRISK3 score (the third version of the QRISK cardiovascular disease risk prediction algorithm; AUC = 0.60, sensitivity = 0.60, specificity = 0.55, accuracy = 0.55). The choroidal layer in OCT images was identified as a key predictor of future CVD events, revealed through a novel model explainability approach. This study demonstrates that retinal OCT imaging is a cost-effective, non-invasive alternative for predicting CVD risk, offering potential for widespread application in optometry practices and hospitals.
title Predicting risk of cardiovascular disease using retinal OCT imaging
topic Image and Video Processing
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.18873