Modeling Large-Scale Walking and Cycling Networks: A Machine Learning Approach Using Mobile Phone and Crowdsourced Data

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Autori principali: Saberi, Meead, Lilasathapornkit, Tanapon
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Saberi, Meead
Lilasathapornkit, Tanapon
author_facet Saberi, Meead
Lilasathapornkit, Tanapon
contents Walking and cycling are known to bring substantial health, environmental, and economic advantages. However, the development of evidence-based active transportation planning and policies has been impeded by significant data limitations, such as biases in crowdsourced data and representativeness issues of mobile phone data. In this study, we develop and apply a machine learning based modeling approach for estimating daily walking and cycling volumes across a large-scale regional network in New South Wales, Australia that includes 188,999 walking links and 114,885 cycling links. The modeling methodology leverages crowdsourced and mobile phone data as well as a range of other datasets on population, land use, topography, climate, etc. The study discusses the unique challenges and limitations related to all three aspects of model training, testing, and inference given the large geographical extent of the modeled networks and relative scarcity of observed walking and cycling count data. The study also proposes a new technique to identify model estimate outliers and to mitigate their impact. Overall, the study provides a valuable resource for transportation modelers, policymakers and urban planners seeking to enhance active transportation infrastructure planning and policies with advanced emerging data-driven modeling methodologies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_00162
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Modeling Large-Scale Walking and Cycling Networks: A Machine Learning Approach Using Mobile Phone and Crowdsourced Data
Saberi, Meead
Lilasathapornkit, Tanapon
Machine Learning
Numerical Analysis
Walking and cycling are known to bring substantial health, environmental, and economic advantages. However, the development of evidence-based active transportation planning and policies has been impeded by significant data limitations, such as biases in crowdsourced data and representativeness issues of mobile phone data. In this study, we develop and apply a machine learning based modeling approach for estimating daily walking and cycling volumes across a large-scale regional network in New South Wales, Australia that includes 188,999 walking links and 114,885 cycling links. The modeling methodology leverages crowdsourced and mobile phone data as well as a range of other datasets on population, land use, topography, climate, etc. The study discusses the unique challenges and limitations related to all three aspects of model training, testing, and inference given the large geographical extent of the modeled networks and relative scarcity of observed walking and cycling count data. The study also proposes a new technique to identify model estimate outliers and to mitigate their impact. Overall, the study provides a valuable resource for transportation modelers, policymakers and urban planners seeking to enhance active transportation infrastructure planning and policies with advanced emerging data-driven modeling methodologies.
title Modeling Large-Scale Walking and Cycling Networks: A Machine Learning Approach Using Mobile Phone and Crowdsourced Data
topic Machine Learning
Numerical Analysis
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.00162