Loss-based prior for tree topologies in BART models

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Serafini, F., Leisen, F., Villa, C., Wilson, K.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Serafini, F.
Leisen, F.
Villa, C.
Wilson, K.
author_facet Serafini, F.
Leisen, F.
Villa, C.
Wilson, K.
contents We present a novel prior for tree topology within Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) models. This approach quantifies the hypothetical loss in information and the loss due to complexity associated with choosing the wrong tree structure. The resulting prior distribution is compellingly geared toward sparsity, a critical feature considering BART models' tendency to overfit. Our method incorporates prior knowledge into the distribution via two parameters that govern the tree's depth and balance between its left and right branches. Additionally, we propose a default calibration for these parameters, offering an objective version of the prior. We demonstrate our method's efficacy on both simulated and real datasets.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_00359
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Loss-based prior for tree topologies in BART models
Serafini, F.
Leisen, F.
Villa, C.
Wilson, K.
Methodology
Applications
We present a novel prior for tree topology within Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) models. This approach quantifies the hypothetical loss in information and the loss due to complexity associated with choosing the wrong tree structure. The resulting prior distribution is compellingly geared toward sparsity, a critical feature considering BART models' tendency to overfit. Our method incorporates prior knowledge into the distribution via two parameters that govern the tree's depth and balance between its left and right branches. Additionally, we propose a default calibration for these parameters, offering an objective version of the prior. We demonstrate our method's efficacy on both simulated and real datasets.
title Loss-based prior for tree topologies in BART models
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.00359