Hitting probabilities for fast stochastic search

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Linn, Samantha, Lawley, Sean D.
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Linn, Samantha
Lawley, Sean D.
author_facet Linn, Samantha
Lawley, Sean D.
contents Many physical phenomena are modeled as stochastic searchers looking for targets. In these models, the probability that a searcher finds a particular target, its so-called hitting probability, is often of considerable interest. In this work we determine hitting probabilities for stochastic search processes conditioned on being faster than a random short time. Such times have been used to model stochastic resetting or stochastic inactivation. These results apply to any search process, diffusive or otherwise, whose unconditional short-time behavior can be adequately approximated, which we characterize for broad classes of stochastic search. We illustrate these results in several examples and show that the conditional hitting probabilities depend predominantly on the relative geodesic lengths between the initial position of the searcher and the targets. Finally, we apply these results to a canonical evidence accumulation model for decision making.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_01142
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Hitting probabilities for fast stochastic search
Linn, Samantha
Lawley, Sean D.
Statistical Mechanics
Probability
82-10, 60G07, 60G40, 92C05
Many physical phenomena are modeled as stochastic searchers looking for targets. In these models, the probability that a searcher finds a particular target, its so-called hitting probability, is often of considerable interest. In this work we determine hitting probabilities for stochastic search processes conditioned on being faster than a random short time. Such times have been used to model stochastic resetting or stochastic inactivation. These results apply to any search process, diffusive or otherwise, whose unconditional short-time behavior can be adequately approximated, which we characterize for broad classes of stochastic search. We illustrate these results in several examples and show that the conditional hitting probabilities depend predominantly on the relative geodesic lengths between the initial position of the searcher and the targets. Finally, we apply these results to a canonical evidence accumulation model for decision making.
title Hitting probabilities for fast stochastic search
topic Statistical Mechanics
Probability
82-10, 60G07, 60G40, 92C05
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.01142