Even naive trees are consistent

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Föge, Nico, Pauly, Markus, Schmid, Lena, Ditzhaus, Marc
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Föge, Nico
Pauly, Markus
Schmid, Lena
Ditzhaus, Marc
author_facet Föge, Nico
Pauly, Markus
Schmid, Lena
Ditzhaus, Marc
contents The last decade has shed some light on theoretical properties such as their consistency for regression tasks. In the current paper, we propose a new class of very simple learners based on so-called naive trees. These naive trees partition the feature space completely at random and independent of the data. Although counter-intuitive, we prove these naive trees and ensembles are consistent under fairly general assumptions. However, naive trees appear to be too simple for actual application. We therefore analyze their finite sample properties in a simulation and small benchmark study. We find a slow convergence speed and a rather poor predictive performance. Based on these results, we finally discuss to what extent consistency proofs help to justify the application of complex learning algorithms.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_06850
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Even naive trees are consistent
Föge, Nico
Pauly, Markus
Schmid, Lena
Ditzhaus, Marc
Statistics Theory
Primary 62G05, secondary 62G20
The last decade has shed some light on theoretical properties such as their consistency for regression tasks. In the current paper, we propose a new class of very simple learners based on so-called naive trees. These naive trees partition the feature space completely at random and independent of the data. Although counter-intuitive, we prove these naive trees and ensembles are consistent under fairly general assumptions. However, naive trees appear to be too simple for actual application. We therefore analyze their finite sample properties in a simulation and small benchmark study. We find a slow convergence speed and a rather poor predictive performance. Based on these results, we finally discuss to what extent consistency proofs help to justify the application of complex learning algorithms.
title Even naive trees are consistent
topic Statistics Theory
Primary 62G05, secondary 62G20
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.06850