The planted directed polymer: inferring a random walk from noisy images

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Kim, Sun Woo P., Lamacraft, Austen
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Kim, Sun Woo P.
Lamacraft, Austen
author_facet Kim, Sun Woo P.
Lamacraft, Austen
contents We introduce and study the planted directed polymer, in which the path of a random walker is inferred from noisy 'images' accumulated at each timestep. Formulated as a nonlinear problem of Bayesian inference for a hidden Markov model, this problem is a generalization of the directed polymer problem of statistical physics, coinciding with it in the limit of zero signal to noise. For a 1D walker we present numerical investigations and analytical arguments that no phase transition is present. When formulated on a Cayley tree, methods developed for the directed polymer are used to show that there is a transition with decreasing signal to noise where effective inference becomes impossible, meaning that the average fractional overlap between the inferred and true paths falls from one to zero.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_07263
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The planted directed polymer: inferring a random walk from noisy images
Kim, Sun Woo P.
Lamacraft, Austen
Statistical Mechanics
Disordered Systems and Neural Networks
We introduce and study the planted directed polymer, in which the path of a random walker is inferred from noisy 'images' accumulated at each timestep. Formulated as a nonlinear problem of Bayesian inference for a hidden Markov model, this problem is a generalization of the directed polymer problem of statistical physics, coinciding with it in the limit of zero signal to noise. For a 1D walker we present numerical investigations and analytical arguments that no phase transition is present. When formulated on a Cayley tree, methods developed for the directed polymer are used to show that there is a transition with decreasing signal to noise where effective inference becomes impossible, meaning that the average fractional overlap between the inferred and true paths falls from one to zero.
title The planted directed polymer: inferring a random walk from noisy images
topic Statistical Mechanics
Disordered Systems and Neural Networks
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.07263