Confidence Calibration and Rationalization for LLMs via Multi-Agent Deliberation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Yang, Ruixin, Rajagopal, Dheeraj, Hayati, Shirley Anugrah, Hu, Bin, Kang, Dongyeop
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Yang, Ruixin
Rajagopal, Dheeraj
Hayati, Shirley Anugrah
Hu, Bin
Kang, Dongyeop
author_facet Yang, Ruixin
Rajagopal, Dheeraj
Hayati, Shirley Anugrah
Hu, Bin
Kang, Dongyeop
contents Uncertainty estimation is a significant issue for current large language models (LLMs) that are generally poorly calibrated and over-confident, especially with reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF). Unlike humans, whose decisions and confidences not only stem from intrinsic beliefs but can also be adjusted through daily observations, existing calibration methods for LLMs focus on estimating or eliciting individual confidence without taking full advantage of the "Collective Wisdom": the interaction among multiple LLMs that can collectively improve both accuracy and calibration. In this work, we propose Collaborative Calibration, a post-hoc training-free calibration strategy that leverages the collaborative and expressive capabilities of multiple tool-augmented LLM agents in a simulated group deliberation process. We demonstrate the effectiveness of Collaborative Calibration on generative QA tasks across various domains, showing its potential in harnessing the rationalization of collectively calibrated confidence assessments and improving the reliability of model predictions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_09127
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Confidence Calibration and Rationalization for LLMs via Multi-Agent Deliberation
Yang, Ruixin
Rajagopal, Dheeraj
Hayati, Shirley Anugrah
Hu, Bin
Kang, Dongyeop
Computation and Language
Uncertainty estimation is a significant issue for current large language models (LLMs) that are generally poorly calibrated and over-confident, especially with reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF). Unlike humans, whose decisions and confidences not only stem from intrinsic beliefs but can also be adjusted through daily observations, existing calibration methods for LLMs focus on estimating or eliciting individual confidence without taking full advantage of the "Collective Wisdom": the interaction among multiple LLMs that can collectively improve both accuracy and calibration. In this work, we propose Collaborative Calibration, a post-hoc training-free calibration strategy that leverages the collaborative and expressive capabilities of multiple tool-augmented LLM agents in a simulated group deliberation process. We demonstrate the effectiveness of Collaborative Calibration on generative QA tasks across various domains, showing its potential in harnessing the rationalization of collectively calibrated confidence assessments and improving the reliability of model predictions.
title Confidence Calibration and Rationalization for LLMs via Multi-Agent Deliberation
topic Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.09127