Bootstrap confidence intervals: A comparative simulation study

Fuente: arXiv
Enregistré dans:
Détails bibliographiques
Auteurs principaux: Justus, Vinícius Litvinoff, Rodrigues, Vitor Batista, Sousa, Alex Rodrigo dos Santos
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:
Tags: Ajouter un tag
Pas de tags, Soyez le premier à ajouter un tag!
_version_ 1866909175827660800
author Justus, Vinícius Litvinoff
Rodrigues, Vitor Batista
Sousa, Alex Rodrigo dos Santos
author_facet Justus, Vinícius Litvinoff
Rodrigues, Vitor Batista
Sousa, Alex Rodrigo dos Santos
contents Bootstrap is a widely used technique that allows estimating the properties of a given estimator, such as its bias and standard error. In this paper, we evaluate and compare five bootstrap-based methods for making confidence intervals: two of them (Normal and Studentized) based on the bootstrap estimate of the standard error; another two (Quantile and Better) based on the estimated distribution of the parameter estimator; and finally, considering an interval constructed based on Bayesian bootstrap, relying on the notion of credible interval. The methods are compared through Monte Carlo simulations in different scenarios, including samples with autocorrelation induced by a copula model. The results are also compared with respect to the coverage rate, the median interval length and a novel indicator, proposed in this paper, combining both of them. The results show that the Studentized method has the best coverage rate, although the smallest intervals are attained by the Bayesian method. In general, all methods are appropriate and demonstrated good performance even in the scenarios violating the independence assumption.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_12967
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bootstrap confidence intervals: A comparative simulation study
Justus, Vinícius Litvinoff
Rodrigues, Vitor Batista
Sousa, Alex Rodrigo dos Santos
Computation
Bootstrap is a widely used technique that allows estimating the properties of a given estimator, such as its bias and standard error. In this paper, we evaluate and compare five bootstrap-based methods for making confidence intervals: two of them (Normal and Studentized) based on the bootstrap estimate of the standard error; another two (Quantile and Better) based on the estimated distribution of the parameter estimator; and finally, considering an interval constructed based on Bayesian bootstrap, relying on the notion of credible interval. The methods are compared through Monte Carlo simulations in different scenarios, including samples with autocorrelation induced by a copula model. The results are also compared with respect to the coverage rate, the median interval length and a novel indicator, proposed in this paper, combining both of them. The results show that the Studentized method has the best coverage rate, although the smallest intervals are attained by the Bayesian method. In general, all methods are appropriate and demonstrated good performance even in the scenarios violating the independence assumption.
title Bootstrap confidence intervals: A comparative simulation study
topic Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.12967