Bayesian synthesis of astrometric wobble and total light curves in close binary supermassive black holes

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Hauptverfasser: Kovacevic, Andjelka B., Songsheng, Yu-Yang, Wang, Jian-Min, Popovic, Luka C.
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Kovacevic, Andjelka B.
Songsheng, Yu-Yang
Wang, Jian-Min
Popovic, Luka C.
author_facet Kovacevic, Andjelka B.
Songsheng, Yu-Yang
Wang, Jian-Min
Popovic, Luka C.
contents We test the potential of Bayesian synthesis of upcoming multi-instrument data to extract orbital parameters and individual light curves of close binary supermassive black holes (CB-SMBH) with subparsec separations. Next generation (ng) interferometers, will make possible the observation of astrometric wobbles in CB-SMBH. Combining them with periodic variable time-domain data from surveys like the Vera C. Rubin Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), allows for a more information on CB-SMBH candidates compared to standalone observational methods. Our method reliably determines binary parameters and component fluxes from binary total flux across long-term, intermediate and short-term binary dynamics and observational configurations, assuming ten annual observations, even in short period "q-accrete" objects. Expected CB-SMBH astrometric wobbles constructed from binary dynamical parameters, might serve in refining observational strategies for CB-SMBH. Combination of inferred mass ratio, light curves of binary components, and observed photocenter wobbles can be a proxy for the activity states of CB-SMBH components.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_17435
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian synthesis of astrometric wobble and total light curves in close binary supermassive black holes
Kovacevic, Andjelka B.
Songsheng, Yu-Yang
Wang, Jian-Min
Popovic, Luka C.
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
We test the potential of Bayesian synthesis of upcoming multi-instrument data to extract orbital parameters and individual light curves of close binary supermassive black holes (CB-SMBH) with subparsec separations. Next generation (ng) interferometers, will make possible the observation of astrometric wobbles in CB-SMBH. Combining them with periodic variable time-domain data from surveys like the Vera C. Rubin Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), allows for a more information on CB-SMBH candidates compared to standalone observational methods. Our method reliably determines binary parameters and component fluxes from binary total flux across long-term, intermediate and short-term binary dynamics and observational configurations, assuming ten annual observations, even in short period "q-accrete" objects. Expected CB-SMBH astrometric wobbles constructed from binary dynamical parameters, might serve in refining observational strategies for CB-SMBH. Combination of inferred mass ratio, light curves of binary components, and observed photocenter wobbles can be a proxy for the activity states of CB-SMBH components.
title Bayesian synthesis of astrometric wobble and total light curves in close binary supermassive black holes
topic Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.17435