Testing for Asymmetric Information in Insurance with Deep Learning

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Maliar, Serguei, Salanie, Bernard
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Maliar, Serguei
Salanie, Bernard
author_facet Maliar, Serguei
Salanie, Bernard
contents The positive correlation test for asymmetric information developed by Chiappori and Salanie (2000) has been applied in many insurance markets. Most of the literature focuses on the special case of constant correlation; it also relies on restrictive parametric specifications for the choice of coverage and the occurrence of claims. We relax these restrictions by estimating conditional covariances and correlations using deep learning methods. We test the positive correlation property by using the intersection test of Chernozhukov, Lee, and Rosen (2013) and the "sorted groups" test of Chernozhukov, Demirer, Duflo, and Fernandez-Val (2023). Our results confirm earlier findings that the correlation between risk and coverage is small. Random forests and gradient boosting trees produce similar results to neural networks.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_18207
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Testing for Asymmetric Information in Insurance with Deep Learning
Maliar, Serguei
Salanie, Bernard
Econometrics
The positive correlation test for asymmetric information developed by Chiappori and Salanie (2000) has been applied in many insurance markets. Most of the literature focuses on the special case of constant correlation; it also relies on restrictive parametric specifications for the choice of coverage and the occurrence of claims. We relax these restrictions by estimating conditional covariances and correlations using deep learning methods. We test the positive correlation property by using the intersection test of Chernozhukov, Lee, and Rosen (2013) and the "sorted groups" test of Chernozhukov, Demirer, Duflo, and Fernandez-Val (2023). Our results confirm earlier findings that the correlation between risk and coverage is small. Random forests and gradient boosting trees produce similar results to neural networks.
title Testing for Asymmetric Information in Insurance with Deep Learning
topic Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.18207