Kernel Corrector LSTM

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Tuna, Rodrigo, Baghoussi, Yassine, Soares, Carlos, Mendes-Moreira, João
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Tuna, Rodrigo
Baghoussi, Yassine
Soares, Carlos
Mendes-Moreira, João
author_facet Tuna, Rodrigo
Baghoussi, Yassine
Soares, Carlos
Mendes-Moreira, João
contents Forecasting methods are affected by data quality issues in two ways: 1. they are hard to predict, and 2. they may affect the model negatively when it is updated with new data. The latter issue is usually addressed by pre-processing the data to remove those issues. An alternative approach has recently been proposed, Corrector LSTM (cLSTM), which is a Read \& Write Machine Learning (RW-ML) algorithm that changes the data while learning to improve its predictions. Despite promising results being reported, cLSTM is computationally expensive, as it uses a meta-learner to monitor the hidden states of the LSTM. We propose a new RW-ML algorithm, Kernel Corrector LSTM (KcLSTM), that replaces the meta-learner of cLSTM with a simpler method: Kernel Smoothing. We empirically evaluate the forecasting accuracy and the training time of the new algorithm and compare it with cLSTM and LSTM. Results indicate that it is able to decrease the training time while maintaining a competitive forecasting accuracy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_18273
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Kernel Corrector LSTM
Tuna, Rodrigo
Baghoussi, Yassine
Soares, Carlos
Mendes-Moreira, João
Machine Learning
Forecasting methods are affected by data quality issues in two ways: 1. they are hard to predict, and 2. they may affect the model negatively when it is updated with new data. The latter issue is usually addressed by pre-processing the data to remove those issues. An alternative approach has recently been proposed, Corrector LSTM (cLSTM), which is a Read \& Write Machine Learning (RW-ML) algorithm that changes the data while learning to improve its predictions. Despite promising results being reported, cLSTM is computationally expensive, as it uses a meta-learner to monitor the hidden states of the LSTM. We propose a new RW-ML algorithm, Kernel Corrector LSTM (KcLSTM), that replaces the meta-learner of cLSTM with a simpler method: Kernel Smoothing. We empirically evaluate the forecasting accuracy and the training time of the new algorithm and compare it with cLSTM and LSTM. Results indicate that it is able to decrease the training time while maintaining a competitive forecasting accuracy.
title Kernel Corrector LSTM
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.18273