Multi-label Classification under Uncertainty: A Tree-based Conformal Prediction Approach

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Tyagi, Chhavi, Guo, Wenge
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Tyagi, Chhavi
Guo, Wenge
author_facet Tyagi, Chhavi
Guo, Wenge
contents Multi-label classification is a common challenge in various machine learning applications, where a single data instance can be associated with multiple classes simultaneously. The current paper proposes a novel tree-based method for multi-label classification using conformal prediction and multiple hypothesis testing. The proposed method employs hierarchical clustering with labelsets to develop a hierarchical tree, which is then formulated as a multiple-testing problem with a hierarchical structure. The split-conformal prediction method is used to obtain marginal conformal $p$-values for each tested hypothesis, and two \textit{hierarchical testing procedures} are developed based on marginal conformal $p$-values, including a hierarchical Bonferroni procedure and its modification for controlling the family-wise error rate. The prediction sets are thus formed based on the testing outcomes of these two procedures. We establish a theoretical guarantee of valid coverage for the prediction sets through proven family-wise error rate control of those two procedures. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in a simulation study and two real data analysis compared to other conformal methods for multi-label classification.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_19472
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Multi-label Classification under Uncertainty: A Tree-based Conformal Prediction Approach
Tyagi, Chhavi
Guo, Wenge
Methodology
Multi-label classification is a common challenge in various machine learning applications, where a single data instance can be associated with multiple classes simultaneously. The current paper proposes a novel tree-based method for multi-label classification using conformal prediction and multiple hypothesis testing. The proposed method employs hierarchical clustering with labelsets to develop a hierarchical tree, which is then formulated as a multiple-testing problem with a hierarchical structure. The split-conformal prediction method is used to obtain marginal conformal $p$-values for each tested hypothesis, and two \textit{hierarchical testing procedures} are developed based on marginal conformal $p$-values, including a hierarchical Bonferroni procedure and its modification for controlling the family-wise error rate. The prediction sets are thus formed based on the testing outcomes of these two procedures. We establish a theoretical guarantee of valid coverage for the prediction sets through proven family-wise error rate control of those two procedures. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in a simulation study and two real data analysis compared to other conformal methods for multi-label classification.
title Multi-label Classification under Uncertainty: A Tree-based Conformal Prediction Approach
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.19472