Level-$k$ Reasoning, Cognitive Hierarchy, and Rationalizability

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1. Verfasser: Liu, Shuige
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Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Liu, Shuige
author_facet Liu, Shuige
contents We employ a unified framework to provide an epistemic-theoretical foundation for Camerer, Ho, and Chong's (2003) cognitive hierarchy (CH) solution and its dynamic extension, using the directed rationalizability concept introduced in Battigalli and Siniscalchi (2003). We interpret level-$k$ as an information type instead of specification of strategic sophistication, and define restriction $ Δ^κ$ on the beliefs of information types; based on it, we show that in the behavioral consequence of rationality, common belief in rationality and transparency of $Δ^κ$, called $Δ^κ$-rationalizability, the strategic sophistication of each information type is endogenously determined. We show that in static games, the CH solution generically coincides with $Δ^κ$-rationalizability; this result also connects CH with Bayesian equilibrium. By extending $Δ^κ$ to dynamic games, we show that Lin and Palfrey's (2024) dynamic cognitive hierarchy (DCH) solution, an extension of CH in dynamic games, generically coincides with the behavioral consequence of rationality, common strong belief in rationality, and transparency of (dynamic) $Δ^κ$. The same framework can also be used to analyze many variations of CH in the literature.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2404_19623
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Level-$k$ Reasoning, Cognitive Hierarchy, and Rationalizability
Liu, Shuige
Theoretical Economics
We employ a unified framework to provide an epistemic-theoretical foundation for Camerer, Ho, and Chong's (2003) cognitive hierarchy (CH) solution and its dynamic extension, using the directed rationalizability concept introduced in Battigalli and Siniscalchi (2003). We interpret level-$k$ as an information type instead of specification of strategic sophistication, and define restriction $ Δ^κ$ on the beliefs of information types; based on it, we show that in the behavioral consequence of rationality, common belief in rationality and transparency of $Δ^κ$, called $Δ^κ$-rationalizability, the strategic sophistication of each information type is endogenously determined. We show that in static games, the CH solution generically coincides with $Δ^κ$-rationalizability; this result also connects CH with Bayesian equilibrium. By extending $Δ^κ$ to dynamic games, we show that Lin and Palfrey's (2024) dynamic cognitive hierarchy (DCH) solution, an extension of CH in dynamic games, generically coincides with the behavioral consequence of rationality, common strong belief in rationality, and transparency of (dynamic) $Δ^κ$. The same framework can also be used to analyze many variations of CH in the literature.
title Level-$k$ Reasoning, Cognitive Hierarchy, and Rationalizability
topic Theoretical Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.19623