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Autori principali: Polke, Dominik, Kösters, Tim, Ahle, Elmar, Söffker, Dirk
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.01052
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author Polke, Dominik
Kösters, Tim
Ahle, Elmar
Söffker, Dirk
author_facet Polke, Dominik
Kösters, Tim
Ahle, Elmar
Söffker, Dirk
contents In complex and unknown processes, global models are initially generated over the entire experimental space but often fail to provide accurate predictions in local areas. A common approach is to use local models, which requires partitioning the experimental space and training multiple models, adding significant complexity. Recognizing this limitation, this study addresses the need for models that effectively represent both global and local experimental spaces. It introduces a novel machine learning (ML) approach: Polynomial Chaos Expanded Gaussian Process (PCEGP), leveraging polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) to calculate input-dependent hyperparameters of the Gaussian process (GP). This provides a mathematically interpretable approach that incorporates non-stationary covariance functions and heteroscedastic noise estimation to generate locally adapted models. The model performance is compared to different algorithms in benchmark tests for regression tasks. The results demonstrate low prediction errors of the PCEGP, highlighting model performance that is often competitive with or better than previous methods. A key advantage of the presented model is its interpretable hyperparameters along with training and prediction runtimes comparable to those of a GP.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_01052
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Polynomial Chaos Expanded Gaussian Process
Polke, Dominik
Kösters, Tim
Ahle, Elmar
Söffker, Dirk
Machine Learning
Systems and Control
In complex and unknown processes, global models are initially generated over the entire experimental space but often fail to provide accurate predictions in local areas. A common approach is to use local models, which requires partitioning the experimental space and training multiple models, adding significant complexity. Recognizing this limitation, this study addresses the need for models that effectively represent both global and local experimental spaces. It introduces a novel machine learning (ML) approach: Polynomial Chaos Expanded Gaussian Process (PCEGP), leveraging polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) to calculate input-dependent hyperparameters of the Gaussian process (GP). This provides a mathematically interpretable approach that incorporates non-stationary covariance functions and heteroscedastic noise estimation to generate locally adapted models. The model performance is compared to different algorithms in benchmark tests for regression tasks. The results demonstrate low prediction errors of the PCEGP, highlighting model performance that is often competitive with or better than previous methods. A key advantage of the presented model is its interpretable hyperparameters along with training and prediction runtimes comparable to those of a GP.
title Polynomial Chaos Expanded Gaussian Process
topic Machine Learning
Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.01052