Posterior contraction rates in a sparse non-linear mixed-effects model

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Hauptverfasser: Naveau, Marion, Delattre, Maud, Sansonnet, Laure
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Naveau, Marion
Delattre, Maud
Sansonnet, Laure
author_facet Naveau, Marion
Delattre, Maud
Sansonnet, Laure
contents Recent works have shown an interest in investigating the frequentist asymptotic properties of Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear models under sparsity constraints. However, there exists a gap in the literature regarding analogous theoretical findings for non-linear models within the high-dimensional setting. The current study provides a novel contribution, focusing specifically on a non-linear mixed-effects model. In this model, the residual variance is assumed to be known, while the regression vector and the covariance matrix of the random effects are unknown and must be estimated. The prior distribution for the sparse regression coefficients consists of a mixture of a point mass at zero and a Laplace distribution, while an Inverse-Wishart prior is employed for the covariance parameter of the random effects. First, the effective dimension of this model is bounded with high posterior probabilities. Subsequently, we derive posterior contraction rates for both the covariance parameter and the prediction term of the response vector. Finally, under additional assumptions, the posterior distribution is shown to contract for recovery of the unknown sparse regression vector at a rate similar to that established in the linear case.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_01206
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Posterior contraction rates in a sparse non-linear mixed-effects model
Naveau, Marion
Delattre, Maud
Sansonnet, Laure
Statistics Theory
Recent works have shown an interest in investigating the frequentist asymptotic properties of Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear models under sparsity constraints. However, there exists a gap in the literature regarding analogous theoretical findings for non-linear models within the high-dimensional setting. The current study provides a novel contribution, focusing specifically on a non-linear mixed-effects model. In this model, the residual variance is assumed to be known, while the regression vector and the covariance matrix of the random effects are unknown and must be estimated. The prior distribution for the sparse regression coefficients consists of a mixture of a point mass at zero and a Laplace distribution, while an Inverse-Wishart prior is employed for the covariance parameter of the random effects. First, the effective dimension of this model is bounded with high posterior probabilities. Subsequently, we derive posterior contraction rates for both the covariance parameter and the prediction term of the response vector. Finally, under additional assumptions, the posterior distribution is shown to contract for recovery of the unknown sparse regression vector at a rate similar to that established in the linear case.
title Posterior contraction rates in a sparse non-linear mixed-effects model
topic Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.01206