Accurate Standard Siren Cosmology with Joint Gravitational-Wave and $γ$-Ray Burst Observations

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Mancarella, Michele, Iacovelli, Francesco, Foffa, Stefano, Muttoni, Niccolò, Maggiore, Michele
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Mancarella, Michele
Iacovelli, Francesco
Foffa, Stefano
Muttoni, Niccolò
Maggiore, Michele
author_facet Mancarella, Michele
Iacovelli, Francesco
Foffa, Stefano
Muttoni, Niccolò
Maggiore, Michele
contents Joint gravitational-wave (GW) and $γ$-ray burst (GRB) observations are among the best prospects for standard siren cosmology. However, the strong selection effect for the coincident GRB detection, which is possible only for sources with small inclination angles, induces a systematic uncertainty that is currently not accounted for. We show that this severe source of bias can be removed by inferring the \emph{a priori} unknown electromagnetic detection probability directly from multimessenger data. This leads at the same time to an unbiased measurement of the Hubble constant, to constrain the properties of GRB emission, and to accurately measure the viewing angle of each source. Our inference scheme is applicable to real data already in the small-statistics regime, a scenario that might become reality in the near future. Additionally, we introduce a novel likelihood approximant for GW events which treats the dependence on distance and inclination as exact.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_02286
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Accurate Standard Siren Cosmology with Joint Gravitational-Wave and $γ$-Ray Burst Observations
Mancarella, Michele
Iacovelli, Francesco
Foffa, Stefano
Muttoni, Niccolò
Maggiore, Michele
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Joint gravitational-wave (GW) and $γ$-ray burst (GRB) observations are among the best prospects for standard siren cosmology. However, the strong selection effect for the coincident GRB detection, which is possible only for sources with small inclination angles, induces a systematic uncertainty that is currently not accounted for. We show that this severe source of bias can be removed by inferring the \emph{a priori} unknown electromagnetic detection probability directly from multimessenger data. This leads at the same time to an unbiased measurement of the Hubble constant, to constrain the properties of GRB emission, and to accurately measure the viewing angle of each source. Our inference scheme is applicable to real data already in the small-statistics regime, a scenario that might become reality in the near future. Additionally, we introduce a novel likelihood approximant for GW events which treats the dependence on distance and inclination as exact.
title Accurate Standard Siren Cosmology with Joint Gravitational-Wave and $γ$-Ray Burst Observations
topic High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.02286