Linear Noise Approximation Assisted Bayesian Inference on Mechanistic Model of Partially Observed Stochastic Reaction Network

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Xu, Wandi, Xie, Wei
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Xu, Wandi
Xie, Wei
author_facet Xu, Wandi
Xie, Wei
contents To support mechanism online learning and facilitate digital twin development for biomanufacturing processes, this paper develops an efficient Bayesian inference approach for partially observed enzymatic stochastic reaction network (SRN), a fundamental building block of multi-scale bioprocess mechanistic model. To tackle the critical challenges brought by the nonlinear stochastic differential equations (SDEs)-based mechanistic model with partially observed state and having measurement errors, an interpretable Bayesian updating linear noise approximation (LNA) metamodel, incorporating the structure information of the mechanistic model, is proposed to approximate the likelihood of observations. Then, an efficient posterior sampling approach is developed by utilizing the gradients of the derived likelihood to speed up the convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). The empirical study demonstrates that the proposed approach has a promising performance.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_02783
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Linear Noise Approximation Assisted Bayesian Inference on Mechanistic Model of Partially Observed Stochastic Reaction Network
Xu, Wandi
Xie, Wei
Machine Learning
To support mechanism online learning and facilitate digital twin development for biomanufacturing processes, this paper develops an efficient Bayesian inference approach for partially observed enzymatic stochastic reaction network (SRN), a fundamental building block of multi-scale bioprocess mechanistic model. To tackle the critical challenges brought by the nonlinear stochastic differential equations (SDEs)-based mechanistic model with partially observed state and having measurement errors, an interpretable Bayesian updating linear noise approximation (LNA) metamodel, incorporating the structure information of the mechanistic model, is proposed to approximate the likelihood of observations. Then, an efficient posterior sampling approach is developed by utilizing the gradients of the derived likelihood to speed up the convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). The empirical study demonstrates that the proposed approach has a promising performance.
title Linear Noise Approximation Assisted Bayesian Inference on Mechanistic Model of Partially Observed Stochastic Reaction Network
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.02783