Probabilistic cellular automata with local transition matrices: synchronization, ergodicity, and inference

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Bayraktar, Erhan, Lu, Fei, Maggioni, Mauro, Wu, Ruoyu, Yang, Sichen
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Bayraktar, Erhan
Lu, Fei
Maggioni, Mauro
Wu, Ruoyu
Yang, Sichen
author_facet Bayraktar, Erhan
Lu, Fei
Maggioni, Mauro
Wu, Ruoyu
Yang, Sichen
contents We introduce a new class of probabilistic cellular automata that are capable of exhibiting rich dynamics such as synchronization and ergodicity and can be easily inferred from data. The system is a finite-state locally interacting Markov chain on a circular graph. Each site's subsequent state is random, with a distribution determined by its neighborhood's empirical distribution multiplied by a local transition matrix. We establish sufficient and necessary conditions on the local transition matrix for synchronization and ergodicity. Also, we introduce novel least squares estimators for inferring the local transition matrix from various types of data, which may consist of either multiple trajectories, a long trajectory, or ensemble sequences without trajectory information. Under suitable identifiability conditions, we show the asymptotic normality of these estimators and provide non-asymptotic bounds for their accuracy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_02928
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Probabilistic cellular automata with local transition matrices: synchronization, ergodicity, and inference
Bayraktar, Erhan
Lu, Fei
Maggioni, Mauro
Wu, Ruoyu
Yang, Sichen
Probability
Statistics Theory
60J10, 62F12
We introduce a new class of probabilistic cellular automata that are capable of exhibiting rich dynamics such as synchronization and ergodicity and can be easily inferred from data. The system is a finite-state locally interacting Markov chain on a circular graph. Each site's subsequent state is random, with a distribution determined by its neighborhood's empirical distribution multiplied by a local transition matrix. We establish sufficient and necessary conditions on the local transition matrix for synchronization and ergodicity. Also, we introduce novel least squares estimators for inferring the local transition matrix from various types of data, which may consist of either multiple trajectories, a long trajectory, or ensemble sequences without trajectory information. Under suitable identifiability conditions, we show the asymptotic normality of these estimators and provide non-asymptotic bounds for their accuracy.
title Probabilistic cellular automata with local transition matrices: synchronization, ergodicity, and inference
topic Probability
Statistics Theory
60J10, 62F12
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.02928