Incorporating changeable attitudes toward vaccination into an SIR infectious disease model

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Jiang, Yi, Kurianski, Kristin M., Lee, Jane HyoJin, Ma, Yanping, Cicala, Daniel, Ledder, Glenn
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Jiang, Yi
Kurianski, Kristin M.
Lee, Jane HyoJin
Ma, Yanping
Cicala, Daniel
Ledder, Glenn
author_facet Jiang, Yi
Kurianski, Kristin M.
Lee, Jane HyoJin
Ma, Yanping
Cicala, Daniel
Ledder, Glenn
contents We develop a mechanistic model that classifies individuals both in terms of epidemiological status (SIR) and vaccination attitude (willing or unwilling), with the goal of discovering how disease spread is influenced by changing opinions about vaccination. Analysis of the model identifies existence and stability criteria for both disease-free and endemic disease equilibria. The analytical results, supported by numerical simulations, show that attitude changes induced by disease prevalence can destabilize endemic disease equilibria, resulting in limit cycles.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_03931
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Incorporating changeable attitudes toward vaccination into an SIR infectious disease model
Jiang, Yi
Kurianski, Kristin M.
Lee, Jane HyoJin
Ma, Yanping
Cicala, Daniel
Ledder, Glenn
Dynamical Systems
Populations and Evolution
37N25 (Primary) 92D30 (Secondary)
We develop a mechanistic model that classifies individuals both in terms of epidemiological status (SIR) and vaccination attitude (willing or unwilling), with the goal of discovering how disease spread is influenced by changing opinions about vaccination. Analysis of the model identifies existence and stability criteria for both disease-free and endemic disease equilibria. The analytical results, supported by numerical simulations, show that attitude changes induced by disease prevalence can destabilize endemic disease equilibria, resulting in limit cycles.
title Incorporating changeable attitudes toward vaccination into an SIR infectious disease model
topic Dynamical Systems
Populations and Evolution
37N25 (Primary) 92D30 (Secondary)
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.03931