Precise Large Deviations for the Total Population of Heavy-tailed Critical Branching Processes with Immigration

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Guo, Jiayan, Hong, Wenming
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Guo, Jiayan
Hong, Wenming
author_facet Guo, Jiayan
Hong, Wenming
contents We focus on the partial sum $S_{n}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}$ of the critical branching process with immigration $\{X_{n}\}$, when the offspring $ξ$ is regularly varying with index $ν+1$ and the immigration $η$ is regularly varying with index $δ$ $(0\leq ν<δ<1)$. The precise large deviation probabilities for $S_{n}$ are specified, that is, for some appropriate sequences $\{x_{n}\}$ and $\{y_{n}\}$, uniformly for $x_{n}\leq x\leq y_{n}$, $P(S_{n}>x)\sim nx^{-δ/(1+ν)}L(x)$, where $L(x)$ is a slowly varying function. Different from that of the subcritical case, here the upper bound $y_n$ is needed. Essentially, this is because the tail probability of the stationary distribution is determined by the offspring or the immigration in the subcritical case. But it is determined by both when the process is critical.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_04835
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Precise Large Deviations for the Total Population of Heavy-tailed Critical Branching Processes with Immigration
Guo, Jiayan
Hong, Wenming
Probability
Primary 60J80, Secondary 60F10
We focus on the partial sum $S_{n}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}$ of the critical branching process with immigration $\{X_{n}\}$, when the offspring $ξ$ is regularly varying with index $ν+1$ and the immigration $η$ is regularly varying with index $δ$ $(0\leq ν<δ<1)$. The precise large deviation probabilities for $S_{n}$ are specified, that is, for some appropriate sequences $\{x_{n}\}$ and $\{y_{n}\}$, uniformly for $x_{n}\leq x\leq y_{n}$, $P(S_{n}>x)\sim nx^{-δ/(1+ν)}L(x)$, where $L(x)$ is a slowly varying function. Different from that of the subcritical case, here the upper bound $y_n$ is needed. Essentially, this is because the tail probability of the stationary distribution is determined by the offspring or the immigration in the subcritical case. But it is determined by both when the process is critical.
title Precise Large Deviations for the Total Population of Heavy-tailed Critical Branching Processes with Immigration
topic Probability
Primary 60J80, Secondary 60F10
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.04835