Inflation Models with Correlation and Skew

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Hauptverfasser: Ogetbil, Orcan, Hientzsch, Bernhard
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Ogetbil, Orcan
Hientzsch, Bernhard
author_facet Ogetbil, Orcan
Hientzsch, Bernhard
contents We formulate a forward inflation index model with multi-factor volatility structure featuring a parametric form that allows calibration to correlations between indices of different tenors observed in the market. Assuming the nominal interest rate follows a single factor Gaussian short rate model, we present analytical prices for zero-coupon and year-on-year swaps, caps, and floors. The same method applies to any interest rate model for which one can compute the zero-coupon bond prices and measure shifts. We extend the multi-factor model with leverage functions to capture the entire market volatility skew with a single process. The time-consuming calibration step of this model can be avoided in the simplified model that we further propose. We demonstrate the leveraged and the simplified models with market data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_05101
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Inflation Models with Correlation and Skew
Ogetbil, Orcan
Hientzsch, Bernhard
Mathematical Finance
We formulate a forward inflation index model with multi-factor volatility structure featuring a parametric form that allows calibration to correlations between indices of different tenors observed in the market. Assuming the nominal interest rate follows a single factor Gaussian short rate model, we present analytical prices for zero-coupon and year-on-year swaps, caps, and floors. The same method applies to any interest rate model for which one can compute the zero-coupon bond prices and measure shifts. We extend the multi-factor model with leverage functions to capture the entire market volatility skew with a single process. The time-consuming calibration step of this model can be avoided in the simplified model that we further propose. We demonstrate the leveraged and the simplified models with market data.
title Inflation Models with Correlation and Skew
topic Mathematical Finance
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.05101