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Hauptverfasser: Wang, Tianfu, Deng, Liwei, Wang, Chao, Lian, Jianxun, Yan, Yue, Yuan, Nicholas Jing, Zhang, Qi, Xiong, Hui
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.10640
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author Wang, Tianfu
Deng, Liwei
Wang, Chao
Lian, Jianxun
Yan, Yue
Yuan, Nicholas Jing
Zhang, Qi
Xiong, Hui
author_facet Wang, Tianfu
Deng, Liwei
Wang, Chao
Lian, Jianxun
Yan, Yue
Yuan, Nicholas Jing
Zhang, Qi
Xiong, Hui
contents As the non-fungible token (NFT) market flourishes, price prediction emerges as a pivotal direction for investors gaining valuable insight to maximize returns. However, existing works suffer from a lack of practical definitions and standardized evaluations, limiting their practical application. Moreover, the influence of users' multi-behaviour transactions that are publicly accessible on NFT price is still not explored and exhibits challenges. In this paper, we address these gaps by presenting a practical and hierarchical problem definition. This approach unifies both collection-level and token-level task and evaluation methods, which cater to varied practical requirements of investors. To further understand the impact of user behaviours on the variation of NFT price, we propose a general wallet profiling framework and develop a COmmunity enhanced Multi-bEhavior Transaction graph model, named COMET. COMET profiles wallets with a comprehensive view and considers the impact of diverse relations and interactions within the NFT ecosystem on NFT price variations, thereby improving prediction performance. Extensive experiments conducted in our deployed system demonstrate the superiority of COMET, underscoring its potential in the insight toolkit for NFT investors.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_10640
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle COMET: NFT Price Prediction with Wallet Profiling
Wang, Tianfu
Deng, Liwei
Wang, Chao
Lian, Jianxun
Yan, Yue
Yuan, Nicholas Jing
Zhang, Qi
Xiong, Hui
Social and Information Networks
As the non-fungible token (NFT) market flourishes, price prediction emerges as a pivotal direction for investors gaining valuable insight to maximize returns. However, existing works suffer from a lack of practical definitions and standardized evaluations, limiting their practical application. Moreover, the influence of users' multi-behaviour transactions that are publicly accessible on NFT price is still not explored and exhibits challenges. In this paper, we address these gaps by presenting a practical and hierarchical problem definition. This approach unifies both collection-level and token-level task and evaluation methods, which cater to varied practical requirements of investors. To further understand the impact of user behaviours on the variation of NFT price, we propose a general wallet profiling framework and develop a COmmunity enhanced Multi-bEhavior Transaction graph model, named COMET. COMET profiles wallets with a comprehensive view and considers the impact of diverse relations and interactions within the NFT ecosystem on NFT price variations, thereby improving prediction performance. Extensive experiments conducted in our deployed system demonstrate the superiority of COMET, underscoring its potential in the insight toolkit for NFT investors.
title COMET: NFT Price Prediction with Wallet Profiling
topic Social and Information Networks
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.10640