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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bernstein, Jason
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.12230
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author Bernstein, Jason
author_facet Bernstein, Jason
contents The probability that two satellites overlap in space at a specified instant of time is called their instantaneous collision probability. Assuming Gaussian uncertainties and spherical satellites, this probability is the integral of a Gaussian distribution over a sphere. This paper shows how to compute the probability using an established numerical procedure called characteristic function inversion. The collision probability in the short-term encounter scenario is also evaluated with this approach, where the instant at which the probability is computed is the time of closest approach between the objects. Python and R code is provided to evaluate the probability in practice. Overall, the approach has been established for over fifty years, is implemented in existing software, does not rely on analytical approximations, and can be used to evaluate two and three dimensional collision probabilities.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_12230
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Computing the Instantaneous Collision Probability between Satellites using Characteristic Function Inversion
Bernstein, Jason
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Applications
The probability that two satellites overlap in space at a specified instant of time is called their instantaneous collision probability. Assuming Gaussian uncertainties and spherical satellites, this probability is the integral of a Gaussian distribution over a sphere. This paper shows how to compute the probability using an established numerical procedure called characteristic function inversion. The collision probability in the short-term encounter scenario is also evaluated with this approach, where the instant at which the probability is computed is the time of closest approach between the objects. Python and R code is provided to evaluate the probability in practice. Overall, the approach has been established for over fifty years, is implemented in existing software, does not rely on analytical approximations, and can be used to evaluate two and three dimensional collision probabilities.
title Computing the Instantaneous Collision Probability between Satellites using Characteristic Function Inversion
topic Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.12230