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Main Authors: Liu, Ke, Ding, Kaijing, Dai, Lu, Hansen, Mark, Chan, Kennis, Schade, John
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.12244
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author Liu, Ke
Ding, Kaijing
Dai, Lu
Hansen, Mark
Chan, Kennis
Schade, John
author_facet Liu, Ke
Ding, Kaijing
Dai, Lu
Hansen, Mark
Chan, Kennis
Schade, John
contents In this paper, we employ the long-short-term memory model (LSTM) to predict the real-time go-around probability as an arrival flight is approaching JFK airport and within 10 nm of the landing runway threshold. We further develop methods to examine the causes to go-around occurrences both from a global view and an individual flight perspective. According to our results, in-trail spacing, and simultaneous runway operation appear to be the top factors that contribute to overall go-around occurrences. We then integrate these pre-trained models and analyses with real-time data streaming, and finally develop a demo web-based user interface that integrates the different components designed previously into a real-time tool that can eventually be used by flight crews and other line personnel to identify situations in which there is a high risk of a go-around.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_12244
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Real-Time Go-Around Prediction: A case study of JFK airport
Liu, Ke
Ding, Kaijing
Dai, Lu
Hansen, Mark
Chan, Kennis
Schade, John
Physics and Society
Machine Learning
In this paper, we employ the long-short-term memory model (LSTM) to predict the real-time go-around probability as an arrival flight is approaching JFK airport and within 10 nm of the landing runway threshold. We further develop methods to examine the causes to go-around occurrences both from a global view and an individual flight perspective. According to our results, in-trail spacing, and simultaneous runway operation appear to be the top factors that contribute to overall go-around occurrences. We then integrate these pre-trained models and analyses with real-time data streaming, and finally develop a demo web-based user interface that integrates the different components designed previously into a real-time tool that can eventually be used by flight crews and other line personnel to identify situations in which there is a high risk of a go-around.
title Real-Time Go-Around Prediction: A case study of JFK airport
topic Physics and Society
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.12244