A Foundation Model for the Earth System

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Bodnar, Cristian, Bruinsma, Wessel P., Lucic, Ana, Stanley, Megan, Vaughan, Anna, Brandstetter, Johannes, Garvan, Patrick, Riechert, Maik, Weyn, Jonathan A., Dong, Haiyu, Gupta, Jayesh K., Thambiratnam, Kit, Archibald, Alexander T., Wu, Chun-Chieh, Heider, Elizabeth, Welling, Max, Turner, Richard E., Perdikaris, Paris
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Bodnar, Cristian
Bruinsma, Wessel P.
Lucic, Ana
Stanley, Megan
Vaughan, Anna
Brandstetter, Johannes
Garvan, Patrick
Riechert, Maik
Weyn, Jonathan A.
Dong, Haiyu
Gupta, Jayesh K.
Thambiratnam, Kit
Archibald, Alexander T.
Wu, Chun-Chieh
Heider, Elizabeth
Welling, Max
Turner, Richard E.
Perdikaris, Paris
author_facet Bodnar, Cristian
Bruinsma, Wessel P.
Lucic, Ana
Stanley, Megan
Vaughan, Anna
Brandstetter, Johannes
Garvan, Patrick
Riechert, Maik
Weyn, Jonathan A.
Dong, Haiyu
Gupta, Jayesh K.
Thambiratnam, Kit
Archibald, Alexander T.
Wu, Chun-Chieh
Heider, Elizabeth
Welling, Max
Turner, Richard E.
Perdikaris, Paris
contents Reliable forecasts of the Earth system are crucial for human progress and safety from natural disasters. Artificial intelligence offers substantial potential to improve prediction accuracy and computational efficiency in this field, however this remains underexplored in many domains. Here we introduce Aurora, a large-scale foundation model for the Earth system trained on over a million hours of diverse data. Aurora outperforms operational forecasts for air quality, ocean waves, tropical cyclone tracks, and high-resolution weather forecasting at orders of magnitude smaller computational expense than dedicated existing systems. With the ability to fine-tune Aurora to diverse application domains at only modest computational cost, Aurora represents significant progress in making actionable Earth system predictions accessible to anyone.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_13063
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Foundation Model for the Earth System
Bodnar, Cristian
Bruinsma, Wessel P.
Lucic, Ana
Stanley, Megan
Vaughan, Anna
Brandstetter, Johannes
Garvan, Patrick
Riechert, Maik
Weyn, Jonathan A.
Dong, Haiyu
Gupta, Jayesh K.
Thambiratnam, Kit
Archibald, Alexander T.
Wu, Chun-Chieh
Heider, Elizabeth
Welling, Max
Turner, Richard E.
Perdikaris, Paris
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Machine Learning
Reliable forecasts of the Earth system are crucial for human progress and safety from natural disasters. Artificial intelligence offers substantial potential to improve prediction accuracy and computational efficiency in this field, however this remains underexplored in many domains. Here we introduce Aurora, a large-scale foundation model for the Earth system trained on over a million hours of diverse data. Aurora outperforms operational forecasts for air quality, ocean waves, tropical cyclone tracks, and high-resolution weather forecasting at orders of magnitude smaller computational expense than dedicated existing systems. With the ability to fine-tune Aurora to diverse application domains at only modest computational cost, Aurora represents significant progress in making actionable Earth system predictions accessible to anyone.
title A Foundation Model for the Earth System
topic Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.13063