Through energy droughts: hydropower's ability to sustain a high output

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Main Authors: Fälth, Hanna Ek, Hedenus, Fredrik, Reichenberg, Lina, Mattsson, Niclas
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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_version_ 1866910457241010176
author Fälth, Hanna Ek
Hedenus, Fredrik
Reichenberg, Lina
Mattsson, Niclas
author_facet Fälth, Hanna Ek
Hedenus, Fredrik
Reichenberg, Lina
Mattsson, Niclas
contents Previous research has raised concerns about energy droughts in renewables-based energy systems. This study explores the ability of reservoir hydropower to sustain a high output and, thereby, mitigate such energy droughts. Using detailed modelling, we estimate that Swedish hydropower can sustain 67-92% of its installed capacity for 3 weeks, with higher values possible in springtime. The variation of the sustained output, equivalent to the capacity of 3-4 Swedish nuclear reactors, under-scores the importance of understanding the potential output levels when devising strategies to counteract energy droughts. Moreover, we find that regulations imposed on the flows in river bottlenecks hinder higher sustained output levels. With the upcoming renewal of environmental permits for hydropower plants in Sweden, these findings provide valuable insights for policymakers. Furthermore, the sustained output capabilities demonstrated in this study challenge the prevalent simplified representations of hydropower in energy models, suggesting a need for more-sophisticated modelling approaches.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_13530
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Through energy droughts: hydropower's ability to sustain a high output
Fälth, Hanna Ek
Hedenus, Fredrik
Reichenberg, Lina
Mattsson, Niclas
Physics and Society
Previous research has raised concerns about energy droughts in renewables-based energy systems. This study explores the ability of reservoir hydropower to sustain a high output and, thereby, mitigate such energy droughts. Using detailed modelling, we estimate that Swedish hydropower can sustain 67-92% of its installed capacity for 3 weeks, with higher values possible in springtime. The variation of the sustained output, equivalent to the capacity of 3-4 Swedish nuclear reactors, under-scores the importance of understanding the potential output levels when devising strategies to counteract energy droughts. Moreover, we find that regulations imposed on the flows in river bottlenecks hinder higher sustained output levels. With the upcoming renewal of environmental permits for hydropower plants in Sweden, these findings provide valuable insights for policymakers. Furthermore, the sustained output capabilities demonstrated in this study challenge the prevalent simplified representations of hydropower in energy models, suggesting a need for more-sophisticated modelling approaches.
title Through energy droughts: hydropower's ability to sustain a high output
topic Physics and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.13530