MultiCast: Zero-Shot Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Using LLMs

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Main Authors: Chatzigeorgakidis, Georgios, Lentzos, Konstantinos, Skoutas, Dimitrios
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Chatzigeorgakidis, Georgios
Lentzos, Konstantinos
Skoutas, Dimitrios
author_facet Chatzigeorgakidis, Georgios
Lentzos, Konstantinos
Skoutas, Dimitrios
contents Predicting future values in multivariate time series is vital across various domains. This work explores the use of large language models (LLMs) for this task. However, LLMs typically handle one-dimensional data. We introduce MultiCast, a zero-shot LLM-based approach for multivariate time series forecasting. It allows LLMs to receive multivariate time series as input, through three novel token multiplexing solutions that effectively reduce dimensionality while preserving key repetitive patterns. Additionally, a quantization scheme helps LLMs to better learn these patterns, while significantly reducing token use for practical applications. We showcase the performance of our approach in terms of RMSE and execution time against state-of-the-art approaches on three real-world datasets.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_14748
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle MultiCast: Zero-Shot Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Using LLMs
Chatzigeorgakidis, Georgios
Lentzos, Konstantinos
Skoutas, Dimitrios
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Predicting future values in multivariate time series is vital across various domains. This work explores the use of large language models (LLMs) for this task. However, LLMs typically handle one-dimensional data. We introduce MultiCast, a zero-shot LLM-based approach for multivariate time series forecasting. It allows LLMs to receive multivariate time series as input, through three novel token multiplexing solutions that effectively reduce dimensionality while preserving key repetitive patterns. Additionally, a quantization scheme helps LLMs to better learn these patterns, while significantly reducing token use for practical applications. We showcase the performance of our approach in terms of RMSE and execution time against state-of-the-art approaches on three real-world datasets.
title MultiCast: Zero-Shot Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Using LLMs
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.14748