Can Large Language Models Faithfully Express Their Intrinsic Uncertainty in Words?

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Yona, Gal, Aharoni, Roee, Geva, Mor
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Yona, Gal
Aharoni, Roee
Geva, Mor
author_facet Yona, Gal
Aharoni, Roee
Geva, Mor
contents We posit that large language models (LLMs) should be capable of expressing their intrinsic uncertainty in natural language. For example, if the LLM is equally likely to output two contradicting answers to the same question, then its generated response should reflect this uncertainty by hedging its answer (e.g., "I'm not sure, but I think..."). We formalize faithful response uncertainty based on the gap between the model's intrinsic confidence in the assertions it makes and the decisiveness by which they are conveyed. This example-level metric reliably indicates whether the model reflects its uncertainty, as it penalizes both excessive and insufficient hedging. We evaluate a variety of aligned LLMs at faithfully communicating uncertainty on several knowledge-intensive question answering tasks. Our results provide strong evidence that modern LLMs are poor at faithfully conveying their uncertainty, and that better alignment is necessary to improve their trustworthiness.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_16908
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Can Large Language Models Faithfully Express Their Intrinsic Uncertainty in Words?
Yona, Gal
Aharoni, Roee
Geva, Mor
Computation and Language
We posit that large language models (LLMs) should be capable of expressing their intrinsic uncertainty in natural language. For example, if the LLM is equally likely to output two contradicting answers to the same question, then its generated response should reflect this uncertainty by hedging its answer (e.g., "I'm not sure, but I think..."). We formalize faithful response uncertainty based on the gap between the model's intrinsic confidence in the assertions it makes and the decisiveness by which they are conveyed. This example-level metric reliably indicates whether the model reflects its uncertainty, as it penalizes both excessive and insufficient hedging. We evaluate a variety of aligned LLMs at faithfully communicating uncertainty on several knowledge-intensive question answering tasks. Our results provide strong evidence that modern LLMs are poor at faithfully conveying their uncertainty, and that better alignment is necessary to improve their trustworthiness.
title Can Large Language Models Faithfully Express Their Intrinsic Uncertainty in Words?
topic Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.16908