Synthetic Potential Outcomes and Causal Mixture Identifiability

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Mazaheri, Bijan, Squires, Chandler, Uhler, Caroline
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Mazaheri, Bijan
Squires, Chandler
Uhler, Caroline
author_facet Mazaheri, Bijan
Squires, Chandler
Uhler, Caroline
contents Heterogeneous data from multiple populations, sub-groups, or sources is often represented as a ``mixture model'' with a single latent class influencing all of the observed covariates. Heterogeneity can be resolved at multiple levels by grouping populations according to different notions of similarity. This paper proposes grouping with respect to the causal response of an intervention or perturbation on the system. This definition is distinct from previous notions, such as similar covariate values (e.g. clustering) or similar correlations between covariates (e.g. Gaussian mixture models). To solve the problem, we ``synthetically sample'' from a counterfactual distribution using higher-order multi-linear moments of the observable data. To understand how these ``causal mixtures'' fit in with more classical notions, we develop a hierarchy of mixture identifiability.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_19225
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Synthetic Potential Outcomes and Causal Mixture Identifiability
Mazaheri, Bijan
Squires, Chandler
Uhler, Caroline
Machine Learning
Econometrics
Methodology
Heterogeneous data from multiple populations, sub-groups, or sources is often represented as a ``mixture model'' with a single latent class influencing all of the observed covariates. Heterogeneity can be resolved at multiple levels by grouping populations according to different notions of similarity. This paper proposes grouping with respect to the causal response of an intervention or perturbation on the system. This definition is distinct from previous notions, such as similar covariate values (e.g. clustering) or similar correlations between covariates (e.g. Gaussian mixture models). To solve the problem, we ``synthetically sample'' from a counterfactual distribution using higher-order multi-linear moments of the observable data. To understand how these ``causal mixtures'' fit in with more classical notions, we develop a hierarchy of mixture identifiability.
title Synthetic Potential Outcomes and Causal Mixture Identifiability
topic Machine Learning
Econometrics
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.19225