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Main Authors: Miah, Haroon, Kollias, Dimitrios, Pedone, Giacinto Luca, Provan, Drew, Chen, Frederick
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.20562
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author Miah, Haroon
Kollias, Dimitrios
Pedone, Giacinto Luca
Provan, Drew
Chen, Frederick
author_facet Miah, Haroon
Kollias, Dimitrios
Pedone, Giacinto Luca
Provan, Drew
Chen, Frederick
contents Primary Immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) is a rare autoimmune disease characterised by immune-mediated destruction of peripheral blood platelets in patients leading to low platelet counts and bleeding. The diagnosis and effective management of ITP is challenging because there is no established test to confirm the disease and no biomarker with which one can predict the response to treatment and outcome. In this work we conduct a feasibility study to check if machine learning can be applied effectively for diagnosis of ITP using routine blood tests and demographic data in a non-acute outpatient setting. Various ML models, including Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, k-Nearest Neighbor, Decision Tree and Random Forest, were applied to data from the UK Adult ITP Registry and a general hematology clinic. Two different approaches were investigated: a demographic-unaware and a demographic-aware one. We conduct extensive experiments to evaluate the predictive performance of these models and approaches, as well as their bias. The results revealed that Decision Tree and Random Forest models were both superior and fair, achieving nearly perfect predictive and fairness scores, with platelet count identified as the most significant variable. Models not provided with demographic information performed better in terms of predictive accuracy but showed lower fairness score, illustrating a trade-off between predictive performance and fairness.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_20562
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Can Machine Learning Assist in Diagnosis of Primary Immune Thrombocytopenia? A feasibility study
Miah, Haroon
Kollias, Dimitrios
Pedone, Giacinto Luca
Provan, Drew
Chen, Frederick
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Primary Immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) is a rare autoimmune disease characterised by immune-mediated destruction of peripheral blood platelets in patients leading to low platelet counts and bleeding. The diagnosis and effective management of ITP is challenging because there is no established test to confirm the disease and no biomarker with which one can predict the response to treatment and outcome. In this work we conduct a feasibility study to check if machine learning can be applied effectively for diagnosis of ITP using routine blood tests and demographic data in a non-acute outpatient setting. Various ML models, including Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, k-Nearest Neighbor, Decision Tree and Random Forest, were applied to data from the UK Adult ITP Registry and a general hematology clinic. Two different approaches were investigated: a demographic-unaware and a demographic-aware one. We conduct extensive experiments to evaluate the predictive performance of these models and approaches, as well as their bias. The results revealed that Decision Tree and Random Forest models were both superior and fair, achieving nearly perfect predictive and fairness scores, with platelet count identified as the most significant variable. Models not provided with demographic information performed better in terms of predictive accuracy but showed lower fairness score, illustrating a trade-off between predictive performance and fairness.
title Can Machine Learning Assist in Diagnosis of Primary Immune Thrombocytopenia? A feasibility study
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.20562