Fixed-budget optimal designs for multi-fidelity computer experiments

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Chen, Gecheng, Tuo, Rui
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Chen, Gecheng
Tuo, Rui
author_facet Chen, Gecheng
Tuo, Rui
contents This work focuses on the design of experiments of multi-fidelity computer experiments. We consider the autoregressive Gaussian process model proposed by Kennedy and O'Hagan (2000) and the optimal nested design that maximizes the prediction accuracy subject to a budget constraint. An approximate solution is identified through the idea of multi-level approximation and recent error bounds of Gaussian process regression. The proposed (approximately) optimal designs admit a simple analytical form. We prove that, to achieve the same prediction accuracy, the proposed optimal multi-fidelity design requires much lower computational cost than any single-fidelity design in the asymptotic sense. Numerical studies confirm this theoretical assertion.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2405_20644
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Fixed-budget optimal designs for multi-fidelity computer experiments
Chen, Gecheng
Tuo, Rui
Methodology
This work focuses on the design of experiments of multi-fidelity computer experiments. We consider the autoregressive Gaussian process model proposed by Kennedy and O'Hagan (2000) and the optimal nested design that maximizes the prediction accuracy subject to a budget constraint. An approximate solution is identified through the idea of multi-level approximation and recent error bounds of Gaussian process regression. The proposed (approximately) optimal designs admit a simple analytical form. We prove that, to achieve the same prediction accuracy, the proposed optimal multi-fidelity design requires much lower computational cost than any single-fidelity design in the asymptotic sense. Numerical studies confirm this theoretical assertion.
title Fixed-budget optimal designs for multi-fidelity computer experiments
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.20644