Algebraic Geometrical Analysis of Metropolis Algorithm When Parameters Are Non-identifiable

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Nagata, Kenji, Mototake, Yoh-ichi
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Nagata, Kenji
Mototake, Yoh-ichi
author_facet Nagata, Kenji
Mototake, Yoh-ichi
contents The Metropolis algorithm is one of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods that realize sampling from the target probability distribution. In this paper, we are concerned with the sampling from the distribution in non-identifiable cases that involve models with Fisher information matrices that may fail to be invertible. The theoretical adjustment of the step size, which is the variance of the candidate distribution, is difficult for non-identifiable cases. In this study, to establish such a principle, the average acceptance rate, which is used as a guideline to optimize the step size in the MCMC method, was analytically derived in non-identifiable cases. The optimization principle for the step size was developed from the viewpoint of the average acceptance rate. In addition, we performed numerical experiments on some specific target distributions to verify the effectiveness of our theoretical results.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_00369
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Algebraic Geometrical Analysis of Metropolis Algorithm When Parameters Are Non-identifiable
Nagata, Kenji
Mototake, Yoh-ichi
Statistics Theory
Machine Learning
The Metropolis algorithm is one of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods that realize sampling from the target probability distribution. In this paper, we are concerned with the sampling from the distribution in non-identifiable cases that involve models with Fisher information matrices that may fail to be invertible. The theoretical adjustment of the step size, which is the variance of the candidate distribution, is difficult for non-identifiable cases. In this study, to establish such a principle, the average acceptance rate, which is used as a guideline to optimize the step size in the MCMC method, was analytically derived in non-identifiable cases. The optimization principle for the step size was developed from the viewpoint of the average acceptance rate. In addition, we performed numerical experiments on some specific target distributions to verify the effectiveness of our theoretical results.
title Algebraic Geometrical Analysis of Metropolis Algorithm When Parameters Are Non-identifiable
topic Statistics Theory
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.00369