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Main Authors: Kahou, Mahdi Ebrahimi, Perla, Jesse, Pleiss, Geoff
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.01898
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author Kahou, Mahdi Ebrahimi
Perla, Jesse
Pleiss, Geoff
author_facet Kahou, Mahdi Ebrahimi
Perla, Jesse
Pleiss, Geoff
contents This paper proposes a ridgeless kernel method for solving infinite-horizon, deterministic, continuous-time models in economic dynamics, formulated as systems of differential-algebraic equations with asymptotic boundary conditions (e.g., transversality). Traditional shooting methods enforce the asymptotic boundary conditions by targeting a known steady state -- which is numerically unstable, hard to tune, and unable to address cases with steady-state multiplicity. Instead, our approach solves the underdetermined problem without imposing the asymptotic boundary condition, using regularization to select the unique solution fulfilling transversality among admissible trajectories. In particular, ridgeless kernel methods recover this path by selecting the minimum norm solution, coinciding with the non-explosive trajectory. We provide theoretical guarantees showing that kernel solutions satisfy asymptotic boundary conditions without imposing them directly, and we establish a consistency result ensuring convergence within the solution concept of differential-algebraic equations. Finally, we illustrate the method in canonical models and demonstrate its ability to handle problems with multiple steady states.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_01898
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Solving Models of Economic Dynamics with Ridgeless Kernel Regressions
Kahou, Mahdi Ebrahimi
Perla, Jesse
Pleiss, Geoff
General Economics
Economics
This paper proposes a ridgeless kernel method for solving infinite-horizon, deterministic, continuous-time models in economic dynamics, formulated as systems of differential-algebraic equations with asymptotic boundary conditions (e.g., transversality). Traditional shooting methods enforce the asymptotic boundary conditions by targeting a known steady state -- which is numerically unstable, hard to tune, and unable to address cases with steady-state multiplicity. Instead, our approach solves the underdetermined problem without imposing the asymptotic boundary condition, using regularization to select the unique solution fulfilling transversality among admissible trajectories. In particular, ridgeless kernel methods recover this path by selecting the minimum norm solution, coinciding with the non-explosive trajectory. We provide theoretical guarantees showing that kernel solutions satisfy asymptotic boundary conditions without imposing them directly, and we establish a consistency result ensuring convergence within the solution concept of differential-algebraic equations. Finally, we illustrate the method in canonical models and demonstrate its ability to handle problems with multiple steady states.
title Solving Models of Economic Dynamics with Ridgeless Kernel Regressions
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.01898