The Deep Latent Space Particle Filter for Real-Time Data Assimilation with Uncertainty Quantification

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Mücke, Nikolaj T., Bohté, Sander M., Oosterlee, Cornelis W.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Mücke, Nikolaj T.
Bohté, Sander M.
Oosterlee, Cornelis W.
author_facet Mücke, Nikolaj T.
Bohté, Sander M.
Oosterlee, Cornelis W.
contents In Data Assimilation, observations are fused with simulations to obtain an accurate estimate of the state and parameters for a given physical system. Combining data with a model, however, while accurately estimating uncertainty, is computationally expensive and infeasible to run in real-time for complex systems. Here, we present a novel particle filter methodology, the Deep Latent Space Particle filter or D-LSPF, that uses neural network-based surrogate models to overcome this computational challenge. The D-LSPF enables filtering in the low-dimensional latent space obtained using Wasserstein AEs with modified vision transformer layers for dimensionality reduction and transformers for parameterized latent space time stepping. As we demonstrate on three test cases, including leak localization in multi-phase pipe flow and seabed identification for fully nonlinear water waves, the D-LSPF runs orders of magnitude faster than a high-fidelity particle filter and 3-5 times faster than alternative methods while being up to an order of magnitude more accurate. The D-LSPF thus enables real-time data assimilation with uncertainty quantification for physical systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_02204
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Deep Latent Space Particle Filter for Real-Time Data Assimilation with Uncertainty Quantification
Mücke, Nikolaj T.
Bohté, Sander M.
Oosterlee, Cornelis W.
Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
In Data Assimilation, observations are fused with simulations to obtain an accurate estimate of the state and parameters for a given physical system. Combining data with a model, however, while accurately estimating uncertainty, is computationally expensive and infeasible to run in real-time for complex systems. Here, we present a novel particle filter methodology, the Deep Latent Space Particle filter or D-LSPF, that uses neural network-based surrogate models to overcome this computational challenge. The D-LSPF enables filtering in the low-dimensional latent space obtained using Wasserstein AEs with modified vision transformer layers for dimensionality reduction and transformers for parameterized latent space time stepping. As we demonstrate on three test cases, including leak localization in multi-phase pipe flow and seabed identification for fully nonlinear water waves, the D-LSPF runs orders of magnitude faster than a high-fidelity particle filter and 3-5 times faster than alternative methods while being up to an order of magnitude more accurate. The D-LSPF thus enables real-time data assimilation with uncertainty quantification for physical systems.
title The Deep Latent Space Particle Filter for Real-Time Data Assimilation with Uncertainty Quantification
topic Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.02204