Pricing and calibration in the 4-factor path-dependent volatility model

Fuente: arXiv
Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser: Gazzani, Guido, Guyon, Julien
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
_version_ 1866915168604127232
author Gazzani, Guido
Guyon, Julien
author_facet Gazzani, Guido
Guyon, Julien
contents We consider the path-dependent volatility (PDV) model of Guyon and Lekeufack (2023), where the instantaneous volatility is a linear combination of a weighted sum of past returns and the square root of a weighted sum of past squared returns. We discuss the influence of an additional parameter that unlocks enough volatility on the upside to reproduce the implied volatility smiles of S\&P 500 and VIX options. This PDV model, motivated by empirical studies, comes with computational challenges, especially in relation to VIX options pricing and calibration. We propose an accurate \emph{pathwise} neural network approximation of the VIX which leverages on the Markovianity of the 4-factor version of the model. The VIX is learned pathwise as a function of the Markovian factors and the model parameters. We use this approximation to tackle the joint calibration of S\&P 500 and VIX options, quickly sample VIX paths, and price derivatives that jointly depend on S\&P 500 and VIX. As an interesting aside, we also show that this \emph{time-homogeneous}, low-parametric, Markovian PDV model is able to fit the whole surface of S\&P 500 implied volatilities remarkably well.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_02319
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Pricing and calibration in the 4-factor path-dependent volatility model
Gazzani, Guido
Guyon, Julien
Computational Finance
Mathematical Finance
Pricing of Securities
91B70, 91G20, 91G30, 91G60, 65C20
We consider the path-dependent volatility (PDV) model of Guyon and Lekeufack (2023), where the instantaneous volatility is a linear combination of a weighted sum of past returns and the square root of a weighted sum of past squared returns. We discuss the influence of an additional parameter that unlocks enough volatility on the upside to reproduce the implied volatility smiles of S\&P 500 and VIX options. This PDV model, motivated by empirical studies, comes with computational challenges, especially in relation to VIX options pricing and calibration. We propose an accurate \emph{pathwise} neural network approximation of the VIX which leverages on the Markovianity of the 4-factor version of the model. The VIX is learned pathwise as a function of the Markovian factors and the model parameters. We use this approximation to tackle the joint calibration of S\&P 500 and VIX options, quickly sample VIX paths, and price derivatives that jointly depend on S\&P 500 and VIX. As an interesting aside, we also show that this \emph{time-homogeneous}, low-parametric, Markovian PDV model is able to fit the whole surface of S\&P 500 implied volatilities remarkably well.
title Pricing and calibration in the 4-factor path-dependent volatility model
topic Computational Finance
Mathematical Finance
Pricing of Securities
91B70, 91G20, 91G30, 91G60, 65C20
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.02319