A Progressive Risk Formulation for Enhanced Deep Learning based Total Knee Replacement Prediction in Knee Osteoarthritis

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Rajamohan, Haresh Rengaraj, Kijowski, Richard, Cho, Kyunghyun, Deniz, Cem M.
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Rajamohan, Haresh Rengaraj
Kijowski, Richard
Cho, Kyunghyun
Deniz, Cem M.
author_facet Rajamohan, Haresh Rengaraj
Kijowski, Richard
Cho, Kyunghyun
Deniz, Cem M.
contents We developed deep learning models for predicting Total Knee Replacement (TKR) need within various time horizons in knee osteoarthritis patients, with a novel capability: the models can perform TKR prediction using a single scan, and furthermore when a previous scan is available, they leverage a progressive risk formulation to improve their predictions. Unlike conventional approaches that treat each scan of a patient independently, our method incorporates a constraint based on disease's progressive nature, ensuring that predicted TKR risk either increases or remains stable over time when multiple scans of a knee are available. This was achieved by enforcing a progressive risk formulation constraint during training with patients who have more than one available scan in the studies. Knee radiographs and MRIs from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) and Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST) were used in this work and deep learning models were trained to predict TKR within 1, 2, and 4-year time periods. The proposed approach, utilizing a dual-model risk constraint architecture, demonstrated superior performance compared to baseline - conventional models trained with standard binary cross entropy loss. It achieved an AUROC of 0.87 and AUPRC of 0.47 for 1-year TKR prediction on the OAI radiograph test set, considerably improving over the baseline AUROC of 0.79 and AUPRC of 0.34. For the MOST radiograph test set, the proposed approach achieved an AUROC of 0.77 and AUPRC of 0.25 for 1-year predictions, outperforming the baseline AUROC of 0.71 and AUPRC of 0.19. Similar trends were observed in the MRI testsets
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_10119
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Progressive Risk Formulation for Enhanced Deep Learning based Total Knee Replacement Prediction in Knee Osteoarthritis
Rajamohan, Haresh Rengaraj
Kijowski, Richard
Cho, Kyunghyun
Deniz, Cem M.
Image and Video Processing
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Quantitative Methods
We developed deep learning models for predicting Total Knee Replacement (TKR) need within various time horizons in knee osteoarthritis patients, with a novel capability: the models can perform TKR prediction using a single scan, and furthermore when a previous scan is available, they leverage a progressive risk formulation to improve their predictions. Unlike conventional approaches that treat each scan of a patient independently, our method incorporates a constraint based on disease's progressive nature, ensuring that predicted TKR risk either increases or remains stable over time when multiple scans of a knee are available. This was achieved by enforcing a progressive risk formulation constraint during training with patients who have more than one available scan in the studies. Knee radiographs and MRIs from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) and Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST) were used in this work and deep learning models were trained to predict TKR within 1, 2, and 4-year time periods. The proposed approach, utilizing a dual-model risk constraint architecture, demonstrated superior performance compared to baseline - conventional models trained with standard binary cross entropy loss. It achieved an AUROC of 0.87 and AUPRC of 0.47 for 1-year TKR prediction on the OAI radiograph test set, considerably improving over the baseline AUROC of 0.79 and AUPRC of 0.34. For the MOST radiograph test set, the proposed approach achieved an AUROC of 0.77 and AUPRC of 0.25 for 1-year predictions, outperforming the baseline AUROC of 0.71 and AUPRC of 0.19. Similar trends were observed in the MRI testsets
title A Progressive Risk Formulation for Enhanced Deep Learning based Total Knee Replacement Prediction in Knee Osteoarthritis
topic Image and Video Processing
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Quantitative Methods
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.10119