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Hauptverfasser: Leung, Chi Ho, Hota, Ashish R., Paré, Philip E.
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.10349
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author Leung, Chi Ho
Hota, Ashish R.
Paré, Philip E.
author_facet Leung, Chi Ho
Hota, Ashish R.
Paré, Philip E.
contents In this work, we first show that the problem of parameter identification is often ill-conditioned and lacks the persistence of excitation required for the convergence of online learning schemes. To tackle these challenges, we introduce the notion of optimal and greedy excitation sets which contain data points with sufficient richness to aid in the identification task. We then present the greedy excitation set-based recursive least squares algorithm to alleviate the problem of the lack of persistent excitation, and prove that the iterates generated by the proposed algorithm minimize an auxiliary weighted least squares cost function. When data points are generated from time-varying parameters, online estimators tend to underfit the true parameter trajectory, and their predictability deteriorates. To tackle this problem, we propose a memory resetting scheme leveraging change point detection techniques. Finally, we illustrate the performance of the proposed algorithms via several numerical case studies to learn the (time-varying) parameters of networked epidemic dynamics, and compare it with results obtained using conventional approaches.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_10349
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Online Identification of Time-Varying Systems Using Excitation Sets and Change Point Detection
Leung, Chi Ho
Hota, Ashish R.
Paré, Philip E.
Systems and Control
In this work, we first show that the problem of parameter identification is often ill-conditioned and lacks the persistence of excitation required for the convergence of online learning schemes. To tackle these challenges, we introduce the notion of optimal and greedy excitation sets which contain data points with sufficient richness to aid in the identification task. We then present the greedy excitation set-based recursive least squares algorithm to alleviate the problem of the lack of persistent excitation, and prove that the iterates generated by the proposed algorithm minimize an auxiliary weighted least squares cost function. When data points are generated from time-varying parameters, online estimators tend to underfit the true parameter trajectory, and their predictability deteriorates. To tackle this problem, we propose a memory resetting scheme leveraging change point detection techniques. Finally, we illustrate the performance of the proposed algorithms via several numerical case studies to learn the (time-varying) parameters of networked epidemic dynamics, and compare it with results obtained using conventional approaches.
title Online Identification of Time-Varying Systems Using Excitation Sets and Change Point Detection
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.10349