Evidential Uncertainty Sets in Deep Classifiers Using Conformal Prediction

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Hauptverfasser: Karimi, Hamed, Samavi, Reza
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Karimi, Hamed
Samavi, Reza
author_facet Karimi, Hamed
Samavi, Reza
contents In this paper, we propose Evidential Conformal Prediction (ECP) method for image classifiers to generate the conformal prediction sets. Our method is designed based on a non-conformity score function that has its roots in Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) as a method of quantifying model (epistemic) uncertainty in DNN classifiers. We use evidence that are derived from the logit values of target labels to compute the components of our non-conformity score function: the heuristic notion of uncertainty in CP, uncertainty surprisal, and expected utility. Our extensive experimental evaluation demonstrates that ECP outperforms three state-of-the-art methods for generating CP sets, in terms of their set sizes and adaptivity while maintaining the coverage of true labels.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_10787
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Evidential Uncertainty Sets in Deep Classifiers Using Conformal Prediction
Karimi, Hamed
Samavi, Reza
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
In this paper, we propose Evidential Conformal Prediction (ECP) method for image classifiers to generate the conformal prediction sets. Our method is designed based on a non-conformity score function that has its roots in Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) as a method of quantifying model (epistemic) uncertainty in DNN classifiers. We use evidence that are derived from the logit values of target labels to compute the components of our non-conformity score function: the heuristic notion of uncertainty in CP, uncertainty surprisal, and expected utility. Our extensive experimental evaluation demonstrates that ECP outperforms three state-of-the-art methods for generating CP sets, in terms of their set sizes and adaptivity while maintaining the coverage of true labels.
title Evidential Uncertainty Sets in Deep Classifiers Using Conformal Prediction
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.10787