Predictive Probabilities Made Simple: A Fast and Accurate Method for Clinical Trial Decision Making
Fuente:
arXiv
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | Marion, Joe, Lorenzi, Liz, Allen-Savietta, Cora, Berry, Scott, Viele, Kert |
|---|---|
| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2024
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
Similar Items
A Bayesian Discrete Framework for Enhancing Decision-Making Processes in Clinical Trial Designs and Evaluations
by: Pramanik, Paramahansa, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Pramanik, Paramahansa, et al.
Published: (2026)
Making Online Polls More Accurate: Statistical Methods Explained
by: Arletti, Alberto, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Arletti, Alberto, et al.
Published: (2025)
SIMBA -- A Bayesian Decision Framework for the Identification of Optimal Biomarker Subgroups for Cancer Basket Clinical Trials
by: Yuan, Shijie, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Yuan, Shijie, et al.
Published: (2025)
Introducing Discipline Score Based on League Overall Swinging Probability
by: Deng, Wuhuan, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Deng, Wuhuan, et al.
Published: (2025)
Bayesian Predictive Probabilities for Online Experimentation
by: Zaidi, Abbas, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Zaidi, Abbas, et al.
Published: (2025)
Distribution-Based Sub-Population Selection (DSPS): A Method for in-Silico Reproduction of Clinical Trials Outcomes
by: Ganji, Mohammadreza, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Ganji, Mohammadreza, et al.
Published: (2024)
Extending Inferences from Randomized Clinical Trials to Target Populations: A Scoping Review of Transportability Methods
by: Wang, Guanbo, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Wang, Guanbo, et al.
Published: (2024)
Regulatory Expectations for Bayesian Methods in Drug and Biologic Clinical Trials: A Practical Perspective on FDA's 2026 Draft Guidance
by: Ji, Yuan, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Ji, Yuan, et al.
Published: (2026)
Dynamic Prediction of the Target Survival Time in Metastatic Solid Tumor Cancer Clinical Trials
by: Wang, Sidi, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Wang, Sidi, et al.
Published: (2026)
Probabilistic Multi-Criteria Decision-Making for Circularity Performance of Modern Methods of Construction Products
by: Meng, Yiping, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Meng, Yiping, et al.
Published: (2025)
Comparing Methods of Expert Elicitation for Treatment Effect or Borrowing Parameters in Standard and Rare Disease Clinical Trials: A Systematic Mapping Study
by: Morgan, Laura M., et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Morgan, Laura M., et al.
Published: (2025)
Estimating Causal Effects for Binary Outcomes Using Per-Decision Inverse Probability Weighting
by: Bao, Yihan, et al.
Published: (2023)
by: Bao, Yihan, et al.
Published: (2023)
Bayesian Nonparametric Clustering to Support Medical Decision-Making: A Variational Inference Approach
by: Ármann, Inga Huld, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Ármann, Inga Huld, et al.
Published: (2026)
Decision Making in Drug Development via Inference on Power
by: Johnson, Geoffrey S
Published: (2020)
by: Johnson, Geoffrey S
Published: (2020)
Decentralized Clinical Trials in the Era of Real-World Evidence: A Statistical Perspective
by: Chen, Jie, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Chen, Jie, et al.
Published: (2024)
Swinging, Fast and Slow: Interpreting variation in baseball swing tracking metrics
by: Powers, Scott, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Powers, Scott, et al.
Published: (2025)
Prediction Markets Underperform Simple Baselines For Infectious Disease Forecasting
by: Dudley, Carson, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Dudley, Carson, et al.
Published: (2026)
Study Duration Prediction for Clinical Trials with Time-to-Event Endpoints Using Mixture Distributions Accounting for Heterogeneous Population
by: Zhang, Hong, et al.
Published: (2023)
by: Zhang, Hong, et al.
Published: (2023)
[Invited Discussion] Randomization Tests to Address Disruptions in Clinical Trials: A Report from the NISS Ingram Olkin Forum Series on Unplanned Clinical Trial Disruptions
by: Phillips, Rachael V., et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Phillips, Rachael V., et al.
Published: (2024)
Unified and Simple Sample Size Calculations for Individual or Cluster Randomized Trials with Skewed or Ordinal Outcomes
by: Tu, Shengxin, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Tu, Shengxin, et al.
Published: (2025)
Fast Algorithm for Calculating Probability of Chess Winning Streaks
by: Diao, Guoqing
Published: (2025)
by: Diao, Guoqing
Published: (2025)
WATCH: A Workflow to Assess Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Drug Development for Clinical Trial Sponsors
by: Sechidis, Konstantinos, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Sechidis, Konstantinos, et al.
Published: (2024)
On the Impact of Biological Risk in Aquaculture Valuation and Decision Making
by: Ewald, Christian-Oliver, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Ewald, Christian-Oliver, et al.
Published: (2024)
Multiple Imputation for Small, Extremely High Efficacy Clinical Trials with Binary Endpoints
by: Tan, Yaoyuan Vincent, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Tan, Yaoyuan Vincent, et al.
Published: (2025)
Claim Reserving via Inverse Probability Weighting: A Micro-Level Chain-Ladder Method
by: Calcetero-Vanegas, Sebastian, et al.
Published: (2023)
by: Calcetero-Vanegas, Sebastian, et al.
Published: (2023)
Bayesian Model Selection for Network Discrimination and Risk-informed Decision Making in Material Flow Analysis
by: Liao, Jiankan, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Liao, Jiankan, et al.
Published: (2025)
On the Calibration of Bayesian Success Criteria and Operating Characteristics for Clinical Trials
by: Yang, Peng, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Yang, Peng, et al.
Published: (2026)
AI-Assisted Decision-Making for Clinical Assessment of Auto-Segmented Contour Quality
by: Wang, Biling, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Wang, Biling, et al.
Published: (2025)
Comparative Evaluation of Multi‐Criteria Decision Making Methods for River Hydromorphology Assessment: Case Study of the Saz‐Çayırova Basin, Türkiye
by: Batuhan Kilic, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Batuhan Kilic, et al.
Published: (2024)
Application of Markov Chains to Multiple Sclerosis Clinical Trial Data to Estimate Disease Trajectories
by: Sthanu, Uma, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Sthanu, Uma, et al.
Published: (2024)
Propensity Score Methods for Local Test Score Equating: Stratification and Inverse Probability Weighting
by: Wallin, Gabriel, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Wallin, Gabriel, et al.
Published: (2024)
Closing the Loop: A Software Framework for AI to Support Business Decision Making
by: Wong, Jeffrey, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Wong, Jeffrey, et al.
Published: (2026)
Comparing the Robustness of Simple Network Scale-Up Method (NSUM) Estimators
by: Kunke, Jessica P., et al.
Published: (2023)
by: Kunke, Jessica P., et al.
Published: (2023)
A Practical Analysis Procedure on Generalizing Comparative Effectiveness in the Randomized Clinical Trial to the Real-world Trialeligible Population
by: Jiang, Kuan, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Jiang, Kuan, et al.
Published: (2024)
A Workflow for Evaluating Regional Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Multi-Regional Clinical Trials
by: Zhang, Cong, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Zhang, Cong, et al.
Published: (2026)
A Bayesian Treatment Selection Design for Phase II Randomised Cancer Clinical Trials
by: Komaki, Moka, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Komaki, Moka, et al.
Published: (2025)
Communicating Risk with Possibility, Not Probability
by: Lawson, John R.
Published: (2024)
by: Lawson, John R.
Published: (2024)
Heterogeneous Clinical Trial Outcomes via Multi-Output Gaussian Processes
by: Thomas, Owen, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Thomas, Owen, et al.
Published: (2024)
Fragility Index for Time-to-Event Endpoints in Single-Arm Clinical Trials
by: Maity, Arnab Kumar, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Maity, Arnab Kumar, et al.
Published: (2024)
E-values for Adaptive Clinical Trials: Anytime-Valid Monitoring in Practice
by: Sokolova, Alexandra, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Sokolova, Alexandra, et al.
Published: (2026)
Similar Items
-
A Bayesian Discrete Framework for Enhancing Decision-Making Processes in Clinical Trial Designs and Evaluations
by: Pramanik, Paramahansa, et al.
Published: (2026) -
Making Online Polls More Accurate: Statistical Methods Explained
by: Arletti, Alberto, et al.
Published: (2025) -
SIMBA -- A Bayesian Decision Framework for the Identification of Optimal Biomarker Subgroups for Cancer Basket Clinical Trials
by: Yuan, Shijie, et al.
Published: (2025) -
Introducing Discipline Score Based on League Overall Swinging Probability
by: Deng, Wuhuan, et al.
Published: (2025) -
Bayesian Predictive Probabilities for Online Experimentation
by: Zaidi, Abbas, et al.
Published: (2025)