Contraction rates for conjugate gradient and Lanczos approximate posteriors in Gaussian process regression

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Stankewitz, Bernhard, Szabo, Botond
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Stankewitz, Bernhard
Szabo, Botond
author_facet Stankewitz, Bernhard
Szabo, Botond
contents Due to their flexibility and theoretical tractability Gaussian process (GP) regression models have become a central topic in modern statistics and machine learning. While the true posterior in these models is given explicitly, numerical evaluations depend on the inversion of the augmented kernel matrix $ K + σ^2 I $, which requires up to $ O(n^3) $ operations. For large sample sizes n, which are typically given in modern applications, this is computationally infeasible and necessitates the use of an approximate version of the posterior. Although such methods are widely used in practice, they typically have very limtied theoretical underpinning. In this context, we analyze a class of recently proposed approximation algorithms from the field of Probabilistic numerics. They can be interpreted in terms of Lanczos approximate eigenvectors of the kernel matrix or a conjugate gradient approximation of the posterior mean, which are particularly advantageous in truly large scale applications, as they are fundamentally only based on matrix vector multiplications amenable to the GPU acceleration of modern software frameworks. We combine result from the numerical analysis literature with state of the art concentration results for spectra of kernel matrices to obtain minimax contraction rates. Our theoretical findings are illustrated by numerical experiments.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_12678
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Contraction rates for conjugate gradient and Lanczos approximate posteriors in Gaussian process regression
Stankewitz, Bernhard
Szabo, Botond
Machine Learning
Statistics Theory
Due to their flexibility and theoretical tractability Gaussian process (GP) regression models have become a central topic in modern statistics and machine learning. While the true posterior in these models is given explicitly, numerical evaluations depend on the inversion of the augmented kernel matrix $ K + σ^2 I $, which requires up to $ O(n^3) $ operations. For large sample sizes n, which are typically given in modern applications, this is computationally infeasible and necessitates the use of an approximate version of the posterior. Although such methods are widely used in practice, they typically have very limtied theoretical underpinning. In this context, we analyze a class of recently proposed approximation algorithms from the field of Probabilistic numerics. They can be interpreted in terms of Lanczos approximate eigenvectors of the kernel matrix or a conjugate gradient approximation of the posterior mean, which are particularly advantageous in truly large scale applications, as they are fundamentally only based on matrix vector multiplications amenable to the GPU acceleration of modern software frameworks. We combine result from the numerical analysis literature with state of the art concentration results for spectra of kernel matrices to obtain minimax contraction rates. Our theoretical findings are illustrated by numerical experiments.
title Contraction rates for conjugate gradient and Lanczos approximate posteriors in Gaussian process regression
topic Machine Learning
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.12678