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Main Authors: Huang, Ling, Xing, Yucheng, Denoeux, Thierry, Feng, Mengling
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.13487
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author Huang, Ling
Xing, Yucheng
Denoeux, Thierry
Feng, Mengling
author_facet Huang, Ling
Xing, Yucheng
Denoeux, Thierry
Feng, Mengling
contents We introduce an evidential model for time-to-event prediction with censored data. In this model, uncertainty on event time is quantified by Gaussian random fuzzy numbers, a newly introduced family of random fuzzy subsets of the real line with associated belief functions, generalizing both Gaussian random variables and Gaussian possibility distributions. Our approach makes minimal assumptions about the underlying time-to-event distribution. The model is fit by minimizing a generalized negative log-likelihood function that accounts for both normal and censored data. Comparative experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate the very good performance of our model as compared to the state-of-the-art.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_13487
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle An evidential time-to-event prediction model based on Gaussian random fuzzy numbers
Huang, Ling
Xing, Yucheng
Denoeux, Thierry
Feng, Mengling
Machine Learning
We introduce an evidential model for time-to-event prediction with censored data. In this model, uncertainty on event time is quantified by Gaussian random fuzzy numbers, a newly introduced family of random fuzzy subsets of the real line with associated belief functions, generalizing both Gaussian random variables and Gaussian possibility distributions. Our approach makes minimal assumptions about the underlying time-to-event distribution. The model is fit by minimizing a generalized negative log-likelihood function that accounts for both normal and censored data. Comparative experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate the very good performance of our model as compared to the state-of-the-art.
title An evidential time-to-event prediction model based on Gaussian random fuzzy numbers
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.13487