Gradient Estimation via Differentiable Metropolis-Hastings

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Arya, Gaurav, Schauer, Moritz, Seyer, Ruben
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Arya, Gaurav
Schauer, Moritz
Seyer, Ruben
author_facet Arya, Gaurav
Schauer, Moritz
Seyer, Ruben
contents Metropolis-Hastings estimates intractable expectations - can differentiating the algorithm estimate their gradients? The challenge is that Metropolis-Hastings trajectories are not conventionally differentiable due to the discrete accept/reject steps. Using a technique based on recoupling chains, our method differentiates through the Metropolis-Hastings sampler itself, allowing us to estimate gradients with respect to a parameter of otherwise intractable expectations. Our main contribution is a proof of strong consistency and a central limit theorem for our estimator under assumptions that hold in common Bayesian inference problems. The proofs augment the sampler chain with latent information, and formulate the estimator as a stopping tail functional of this augmented chain. We demonstrate our method on examples of Bayesian sensitivity analysis and optimizing a random walk Metropolis proposal.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_14451
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Gradient Estimation via Differentiable Metropolis-Hastings
Arya, Gaurav
Schauer, Moritz
Seyer, Ruben
Statistics Theory
Probability
Computation
Metropolis-Hastings estimates intractable expectations - can differentiating the algorithm estimate their gradients? The challenge is that Metropolis-Hastings trajectories are not conventionally differentiable due to the discrete accept/reject steps. Using a technique based on recoupling chains, our method differentiates through the Metropolis-Hastings sampler itself, allowing us to estimate gradients with respect to a parameter of otherwise intractable expectations. Our main contribution is a proof of strong consistency and a central limit theorem for our estimator under assumptions that hold in common Bayesian inference problems. The proofs augment the sampler chain with latent information, and formulate the estimator as a stopping tail functional of this augmented chain. We demonstrate our method on examples of Bayesian sensitivity analysis and optimizing a random walk Metropolis proposal.
title Gradient Estimation via Differentiable Metropolis-Hastings
topic Statistics Theory
Probability
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.14451