Conditional correlation estimation and serial dependence identification

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Pączek, Kewin, Jelito, Damian, Pitera, Marcin, Wyłomańska, Agnieszka
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Pączek, Kewin
Jelito, Damian
Pitera, Marcin
Wyłomańska, Agnieszka
author_facet Pączek, Kewin
Jelito, Damian
Pitera, Marcin
Wyłomańska, Agnieszka
contents It has been recently shown in Jaworski, P., Jelito, D. and Pitera, M. (2024), 'A note on the equivalence between the conditional uncorrelation and the independence of random variables', Electronic Journal of Statistics 18(1), that one can characterise the independence of random variables via the family of conditional correlations on quantile-induced sets. This effectively shows that the localized linear measure of dependence is able to detect any form of nonlinear dependence for appropriately chosen conditioning sets. In this paper, we expand this concept, focusing on the statistical properties of conditional correlation estimators and their potential usage in serial dependence identification. In particular, we show how to estimate conditional correlations in generic and serial dependence setups, discuss key properties of the related estimators, define the conditional equivalent of the autocorrelation function, and provide a series of examples which prove that the proposed framework could be efficiently used in many practical econometric applications.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_14650
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Conditional correlation estimation and serial dependence identification
Pączek, Kewin
Jelito, Damian
Pitera, Marcin
Wyłomańska, Agnieszka
Methodology
62F10, 60E07, 62P35
It has been recently shown in Jaworski, P., Jelito, D. and Pitera, M. (2024), 'A note on the equivalence between the conditional uncorrelation and the independence of random variables', Electronic Journal of Statistics 18(1), that one can characterise the independence of random variables via the family of conditional correlations on quantile-induced sets. This effectively shows that the localized linear measure of dependence is able to detect any form of nonlinear dependence for appropriately chosen conditioning sets. In this paper, we expand this concept, focusing on the statistical properties of conditional correlation estimators and their potential usage in serial dependence identification. In particular, we show how to estimate conditional correlations in generic and serial dependence setups, discuss key properties of the related estimators, define the conditional equivalent of the autocorrelation function, and provide a series of examples which prove that the proposed framework could be efficiently used in many practical econometric applications.
title Conditional correlation estimation and serial dependence identification
topic Methodology
62F10, 60E07, 62P35
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.14650