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Main Author: Andrecut, M.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.15894
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author Andrecut, M.
author_facet Andrecut, M.
contents Elections play a fundamental role in democratic societies, however they are often characterized by unexpected results. Here we discuss an election campaign model inspired by the compartmental epidemiology, and we show that the model captures the main characteristics of an election campaign: persuasion, betrayal and regret. All of these three factors can be used together or independently to influence the campaign, and to determine the winner. We include results for both the deterministic and the stochastic versions of the model, and we show that the decision to not vote significantly increases the fluctuations in the model, amplifying the chance of controversial results, in agreement with the well known "paradox of not voting".
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_15894
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Persuasion, Betrayal and Regret in Election Campaigns
Andrecut, M.
Physics and Society
Elections play a fundamental role in democratic societies, however they are often characterized by unexpected results. Here we discuss an election campaign model inspired by the compartmental epidemiology, and we show that the model captures the main characteristics of an election campaign: persuasion, betrayal and regret. All of these three factors can be used together or independently to influence the campaign, and to determine the winner. We include results for both the deterministic and the stochastic versions of the model, and we show that the decision to not vote significantly increases the fluctuations in the model, amplifying the chance of controversial results, in agreement with the well known "paradox of not voting".
title Persuasion, Betrayal and Regret in Election Campaigns
topic Physics and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.15894